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CA Oroville Dam Spillway Near Failure
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Contributors to this thread:
slade 12-Feb-17
NvaGvUp 12-Feb-17
slade 12-Feb-17
Anony Mouse 12-Feb-17
muskeg 12-Feb-17
muskeg 12-Feb-17
Jim Moore 13-Feb-17
Shuteye 13-Feb-17
'Ike' (Phone) 13-Feb-17
muskeg 13-Feb-17
Jimbo 13-Feb-17
Amoebus 13-Feb-17
South Farm 13-Feb-17
orionsbrother 13-Feb-17
absaroka6 13-Feb-17
NvaGvUp 13-Feb-17
tonyo6302 13-Feb-17
NvaGvUp 13-Feb-17
South Farm 13-Feb-17
kentuckbowhnter 13-Feb-17
NvaGvUp 13-Feb-17
Shuteye 13-Feb-17
IdyllwildArcher 13-Feb-17
NvaGvUp 13-Feb-17
NvaGvUp 13-Feb-17
NvaGvUp 13-Feb-17
Anony Mouse 13-Feb-17
DL 13-Feb-17
DL 13-Feb-17
NvaGvUp 13-Feb-17
NvaGvUp 13-Feb-17
NvaGvUp 13-Feb-17
NvaGvUp 13-Feb-17
Wayne Helmick 13-Feb-17
Wayne Helmick 13-Feb-17
Iktomi 14-Feb-17
DL 14-Feb-17
Anony Mouse 14-Feb-17
Stumpkiller 15-Feb-17
NvaGvUp 15-Feb-17
NvaGvUp 15-Feb-17
Anony Mouse 15-Feb-17
Fulldraw1972 16-Feb-17
Wayne Helmick 16-Feb-17
NvaGvUp 16-Feb-17
Wayne Helmick 16-Feb-17
Anony Mouse 16-Feb-17
Anony Mouse 19-Feb-17
Anony Mouse 20-Feb-17
DL 20-Feb-17
South Farm 21-Feb-17
Anony Mouse 25-Feb-17
NvaGvUp 25-Feb-17
NvaGvUp 26-Feb-17
Anony Mouse 01-Mar-17
NvaGvUp 01-Mar-17
Anony Mouse 05-Mar-17
From: slade
12-Feb-17
This was issues a 5pm

The California Department of Water Resources issued a sudden evacuation order shortly before 5 p.m. Sunday for residents near the Oroville Dam in northern California, warning that the dam’s emergency spillway would fail in the next 60 minutes.

From: NvaGvUp
12-Feb-17
What would you expect from a state which will blow several BILLION dollars on a fast train to nowhere, refuses to build new dams, approve nuclear power plants and which supports water for the delta smelt over water for a YUGE part of California's Central Valley, which would otherwise produce a YUGE percentage of America's fresh produce?

From: slade
12-Feb-17
Please take thy bitterness elsewhere....

Prayers to all involved, I have friends in the area and family south of Orville who could be in trouble....

From: Anony Mouse
12-Feb-17
Being a sanctuary state, perhaps instead of getting federal funding, California could apply for foreign aid when the dam breaks.

From: muskeg
12-Feb-17
they are closing the two direction roads now ... one way leading out. Lot's of people are moving as fast as possible right now.

From: muskeg
12-Feb-17
All the downrange water storage level is just is about max ... The problem area is the axillary dam, not the main dam ... but even if that fails it could be catastrophic flooding downrange. Lots of levies could be breached.

From: Jim Moore
13-Feb-17

Kalifornia still want secede or do they now want taxpayers to help?

From: Shuteye
13-Feb-17
I think they used choppers to plug the leaks or slow down the leaks. They may be okay now.

13-Feb-17
No, they're talking about dropping rocks in the hole...Nothing as of yet, but water level was dropping...Evacuation still in effect!

From: muskeg
13-Feb-17
I seen figures of between 120,000 to 160,000 people evacuated. It should be low enough tomorrow with no water going over the diversion dam ... so they can get down there and take a look at the back erosion damage. Another series of storms are scheduled to start Thursday / Friday. Also there is still a heavy snow pack in the upper Oroville watershed.

From: Jimbo
13-Feb-17
They'll have precious little time to make repairs. The rain muskeg mentioned is supposed to begin Thursday, and some forecasts are calling for rain & showers for 11 straight days. The amount of water coming off the mountains into the Feather River and its tributaries is already causing flooding in multiple locations upstream of the lake. The evacuations may need to stay in place for an extended period of time.

From: Amoebus
13-Feb-17
If you don't happen to realize what that amount of water can do, pick up The Johnstown Flood by David McCullough - or see link.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Johnstown_Flood

The people downriver that heeded the evacuation order were wise.

From: South Farm
13-Feb-17
Is there EVER a happy median in that state? If it ain't drying up or burning, or shaking, it's mudslides, flooding, and now this.

13-Feb-17
Slade - Hoping your friends and family will be safe and their houses unaffected.

From: absaroka6
13-Feb-17
I read this morning that the authorities are going to air lift bags of rock and sand onto the affected structures hoping to reinforce them. Prayers sent to all.

From: NvaGvUp
13-Feb-17
In the early seventies, I was stationed at Ellsworth AFB, which is right outside of Rapid City, SD.

On the night of June 9, 1972, a flash flood roared down Rapid Creek, which runs through the middle of town. Two hundred thirty-nine people lost their lives that night.

The stench of the mud and death remained in Rapid City until winter came.

From: tonyo6302
13-Feb-17

tonyo6302's Link
Unfortunately for residents, California Officials have been ignoring the problems with this Dam for 12 years.

See the linky for details.

http://www.mercurynews.com/2017/02/12/oroville-dam-feds-and-state-officials-ignored-warnings-12-years-ago/

From: NvaGvUp
13-Feb-17
Tonyo,

That was my point in my earlier post here. CA is pizzing away Billions upon Billions of $$$$$ on a fast train to nowhere that few will ever ride while ignoring the problems with the Oroville dam. Why? Because lefty politicians LOVE mass transit. Not for themselves, of course. Once the ribbon cutting is over, they'll never ride the train. It's us hicks and rubes who are going to ride the train (they hope).

As a result, tens of thousands of people are facing the possible destruction of their property and even the loss of their lives.

From: South Farm
13-Feb-17
Well WHO voted them in?

13-Feb-17
they love mass transit because the contractors that will make billions building it love mass transit.

From: NvaGvUp
13-Feb-17
South Farm,

Certainly not the people who will be harmed if the dam gives way. The large % of the people in the area of concern are conservatives.

Unfortunately, it's the Liberal a-holes in the SF and LA areas who control the CA Assembly and the CA Senate.

From: Shuteye
13-Feb-17
Is this going to help those little fish that they were protecting by keeping water from the farmers?

13-Feb-17
The high-speed rail was not initiated by the state legislature. It was a ballot measure that CA residents voted to tax themselves on and build several years ago. California continues to screw itself fiscally by putting these types of things on the ballot for people to vote on, but that's the system.

From: NvaGvUp
13-Feb-17
Ike,

True that. But it's also true that it was the liberals in the SF and LA areas who were responsible for getting that fast train to nowhere initiative approved. And it's the Governor and the Legislature that keep pushing it, even though the cost estimate has doubled already.

From: NvaGvUp
13-Feb-17
The water level in the dam has dropped below the level of the emergency spillway, for now at least.

A series of rain storms are due in starting Thursday and lasting a week or more, so they've got two more days to jerry-rig the problem, the pray it works.

From: NvaGvUp
13-Feb-17
The Oroville dam is 770' tall. That makes it the tallest dam in the country.

Can you even begin to imagine the power of that much water if the dam were to fail?

From: Anony Mouse
13-Feb-17
Lex...all the little delta smelt are going to be washed out to the sea ;o)

From: DL
13-Feb-17
One dam failure you've probably never heard of was in the 1920s. It was a new dam that failed and an estimated 425 people died down stream.

From: DL
13-Feb-17
Travis Allen state assmemblyman for district 72 sent out a post on FB that the voters passed a ballot measure for 7.5 billion for water issues. Brown never spent one dollar of it for water storage and 0 on the oroville dam.

From: NvaGvUp
13-Feb-17

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Remember the Teton Dam disaster in Idaho in 1976?

"The Teton Dam was an earthen dam on the Teton River in Idaho, United States. It was built by the Bureau of Reclamation, one of eight federal agencies authorized to construct dams. Located in the eastern part of the state, between Fremont and Madison counties, it suffered a catastrophic failure on June 5, 1976, as it was filling for the first time.

The collapse of the dam resulted in the deaths of 11 people and 13,000 cattle. The dam cost about $100 million to build, and the federal government paid over $300 million in claims related to its failure. Total damage estimates have ranged up to $2 billion. The dam has not been rebuilt."

From: NvaGvUp
13-Feb-17

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Rapid City, June 9, 1972

The rain and the flooding started a bit before midnight on June 9. These photos were taken the following day after Rapid Creek had mostly returned to it's banks.

I lived just off base about six miles from town. About 7:00 the next morning the Air Police drove by with loudspeakers telling all military personnel to report to their squadrons, which I did immediately.

When I got there, everyone was milling around and nothing was happening. So I asked the CO if I could go into town to help rather than standing around doing nothing.

He gave me permission to do that, so I drove into town and went to City Hall, which was where the radio stations were asking volunteers to go. Until I got to town and saw the carnage, I had no idea how bad it was.

When I got to City Hall, after standing around some more, I finally went up and told some official, " Put me to work." He said I could go to some intersection and direct traffic. I said, "Screw that. What else can I do?" So he suggested I head to a neighborhood that had been hit hard and find a homeowner who needed help. Which I did.

I found Sam and Marion Tuttle and their kids, who had had literally spent much of the night on the roof of their home, trying to stay alive and listening to neighbors screaming for help. The water was up to the eaves!

We spent the next few days shoveling mud out of their home, moving furniture and ripping off baseboards.

That sort of thing is not something you ever forget.

From: NvaGvUp
13-Feb-17

From: NvaGvUp
13-Feb-17
As a result of this thread, I got to wondering how Sam and Marion Tuttle ( the couple I helped after the flash flood roared thru Rapid City almost 45 years ago) were doing.

Amazingly, I was able to get a phone number for them, called them and spent :30 on the phone with Marion, then Sam.

Life is short, folks. Connect with the people in your lives with whom you shared really important moments while you and they still can!

13-Feb-17
Kyle, I first came to Ellsworth AFB in 1992 and fell in love with the area. Never wanted to leave. Air Force had other plans and sent me around the world 3 times. I kept coming back whenever I could work it. Finally retired in 2011 and moved back and work at the base. Everybody that works for me remembers where they were when that happened. A lady who also works at the base and lives close by grew up here and told us her older brother was 18 and died rescuing old folks from a nursing home by swimming them across the creek. He saved 6 and went back for another one and never made it back. I drive by the spot every day. I live 8 miles west of Rapid City up Rapid Creek. FYI, Fischer Furniture is still here. The white van in your second to last picture.

13-Feb-17
Forgot to say Best wishes and prayers to all. Just because it's California doesn't mean there aren't a lot of good hardworking people that will suffer. Hope for the best.

From: Iktomi
14-Feb-17
The idiots are mostly concentrated in the Bay Area and Los Angeles, the rest of the state, not so much....

From: DL
14-Feb-17

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Here's a picture of the spillway in 2013. It was in need of repair. Governor whined that we needed a 7.5 billion bond passed to make repairs to aging water storage. In 2014 voters passed the measure to do this. No repairs were ever done. Where did the money go????? Instead of a repair now they need a whole new spillway. Somebody needs to be canned for this.

From: Anony Mouse
14-Feb-17
A whole bunch need to be canned...starting with the governor.

From: Stumpkiller
15-Feb-17
AMx2

15-Feb-17
"The idiots are mostly concentrated in the Bay Area and Los Angeles, the rest of the state, not so much...."

This is pretty true of all states. The idiots are for sure concentrated in the cities.

From: NvaGvUp
15-Feb-17
What else would you expect from people who think their meat comes from Safeway and don't know an elk from a deer nor a bighorn sheep from an antelope?

And Yes! There really are people out there who don't know bighorn sheep from antelope. On my WY sheep hunt last year, on the second day of backpacking in, we met a guy hiking out who was obviously a serious and well-seasoned backpacker. When we asked him if he'd been seeing any sheep, he said, "No, but I've seen lots of antelope!"

We were at 11,000' in country that was 15 or more miles from the nearest road and it was all straight up and down mountains. It was so nasty that there weren't even any Mule Deer there. The 'antelope' he'd been seeing were Rocky Mountain bighorn sheep!

From: NvaGvUp
15-Feb-17
Wayne,

What did you do at Ellsworth? I was a Stand/Eval navigator for the 4th ACCS.

From: Anony Mouse
15-Feb-17

Or, maybe fill the gaps with them...?

From: Fulldraw1972
16-Feb-17
I hear tell some dems are blaming the spillway failure on global warming.

16-Feb-17
Kyle, Sorry, I don't post from work. Just lurk occasionally. I was Biomedical Equipment Repair from 1991 -2011. Basically calibrate and fix every machine in the hospital. Realized pretty quick I made the right choice when I would drive to work at 10 below and a 40 mph breeze and see those guys out on the flight line trying to get a B-52 in the air. Or the poor kid guarding the gate. Now I am the Facility Manager at the Hospital on base and handle all the maintenance of the building. It's always been like my second home so I enjoy taking care of the building.

From: NvaGvUp
16-Feb-17
Wayne,

Yeah, or worse, the poor kids who were guarding our alert birds.

They had a telephone-booth size 'shelter' they could sit in some of the time. But no matter the weather, they were required to walk the perimeter of the aircraft they were guarding every :15.

The BUFF's and the KC's had a perimeter that included two ships. Our perimeters included only one EC ship.

Those poor kids who had to walk the perimeter of our red line were required to shoot-to-kill anyone who crossed that perimeter unless there were TWO officers who would yell out the 'passcode of the day' before they crossed that line.

I remember on more than one occasion when we had an alert, they'd wave us inside the perimeter after we'd given them the password and then they'd withdraw to their 'telephone booths,' only to have their booths blown over, with them still in it, when the jet blasts hit!

LOL!

Those were the days, my friend!

16-Feb-17
Yeah, imagine the guys that would go out for 4 days to the missile sites. I was here when they pulled all the missiles out. Quite the spectacle. Since they were nukes it was like the president was coming through. Bullet proof suburbans in front and back of an 18 wheeler with a missile on a flatbead. They would travel from all the sites sometimes hundreds of miles and never stop. Blew through every intersection until they got to the flight line. I know cause it took me half an hour to get home from work and I could see my house. Back to the original post, what's going on with the dam? Can't imagine those poor folks living in limbo. We worry about that every year with forest fires. We have a lot of beetle kill up here too and it's downright scary to think everything you own is there and you have minutes to get out if you"re lucky. What do you take? I sympathize with all those good people. Keep us posted on what's going on.

From: Anony Mouse
16-Feb-17

Remember: at the core of every bit of humor, there is a kernel of truth.

Obama Stimulus went to “blue” dam instead of “red”

From: Anony Mouse
19-Feb-17

Anony Mouse's Link

From: Anony Mouse
20-Feb-17

Anony Mouse's Link
Dam dams and holy roads...

From: DL
20-Feb-17
But first we need to spend billions on a high speed train. Maybe Brown needs to steal the train money to fix the infrastructure like he stole the money from the 2014 bond bill to fix the dams. That guy should be cell mates with hillary.

From: South Farm
21-Feb-17
Forget the train, better buy a boat!

From: Anony Mouse
25-Feb-17

From: NvaGvUp
25-Feb-17
Mouse,

Perfect! lol!

From: NvaGvUp
26-Feb-17
From Breibart:

"Northern California Snowmelt Crisis as Temps Rise into 70s

by CHRISS W. STREET, 26 Feb 2017

Northern California will face a new flood crisis for Oroville Dam and Shasta Dam, as 10 days of up to 75 degree weather will spark an early spring snowmelt.

With the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) rating over 90 percent of California as experiencing an “Extreme Water Year,” the media are welcoming sunny skies that are expected to spike Northern California valley temperatures to 75 degrees or higher.

Because hundreds of smaller dams in Northern California have been allowed to fill, water runoff for the Sacramento Valley from Sierra Nevada-fed rivers is running at 130 percent of average for this time of year; versus rivers flowing into the San Joaquin Valley, which are running at 190 percent of average runoff.

But as temperatures rise to 65 degrees in mid-mountain elevations at the 6–8,000 foot levels that received 3 feet of snow in the last set of storms, 13-degree-above-average temperatures are about to trigger an early spring snowmelt, according to Paul Preston of Agenda 21 Radio News, who has been broadcasting continuously from Oroville Dam during the last month.

The Feather River below Oroville Dam that is holding back up to 3.5 million acre feet of water is currently running at 196 percent of average for this time of year. The Sacramento River, below the much bigger Shasta Dam, which holds back up to 4.5 million acre feet of water, is running at 156 percent of average.

Almost completely ignored during the crisis mass evacuations in reaction to the potential failure of Oroville Dam, the water levels rose to within 11 feet of Shasta Dam’s 602-foot-high emergency spillway, despite running Shasta’s lower water release gates at full-blast since January 16. U.S. Bureau of Reclamation engineers were forced to open the upper flood gates for 15 minutes on February 23 for the first time in two decades. With the sun coming out on Saturday afternoon, the water level at Shasta’s Dam had fallen by 3.99 feet.

Breitbart News reported that to prevent Oroville Dam from massively pouring over its emergency spillway and flooding over 1 million people in the Sacramento Valley, the 9 smaller supporting dams on the Feather River were allowed to fill up. During the same period, engineers allowed the 5 smaller dams that support Shasta Dam to fill up as well.

But Shasta Dam was originally designed to be 804 feet high and hold back 13.9 million acre feet of water, because it blocked the water flows from the Pit, McCloud, and Sacramento rivers. Built during by the federal government during World War II for the duel purpose of providing flood control and electrical generation to California aviation factories, wartime material shortages prevented adding the dam’s top 200 feet.

Fully aware that Shasta Dam is not tall enough to handle the type of 100-year flood that California may currently be facing, the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation has proposed $1.1 billion to raise the height of Shasta Dam by 18.5 feet to increase water storage by 14 percent. But the Obama administration killed the project in 2014 by filing a 349-page report claiming expansion was a threat to salmon under the U. S. Endangered Species Act. (emphasis mine)

Breitbart News reported that despite Gov. Jerry Brown campaigning for the $7.5 billion Proposition 1 Water Bond to provide new dams and flood control in 2014, he moved in April 2016 to redirect $250 million to re-wild the Klamath River by tearing down 4 hydro-electric dams.

But facing political blow-back from having ordered the evacuation of 188,000 people during the near-collapse of Oroville Dam, and fearing an early spring snowmelt, Gov. Brown on February 24 asked the Democrat-controlled California Legislature to spend $50 million in existing general fund money, plus $387 million from the Proposition 1 fund, on emergency flood control efforts, according to the Sacramento Bee."

From: Anony Mouse
01-Mar-17
Shocking Aerial Footage Shows What the Oroville Dam Looks Like Now

Earlier this month, we all heard the news that the Oroville Dam was damaged, and that thousands of residents living in its shadow would have to be evacuated. Fortunately the dam held, and the residents of Oroville were able to return to their homes. For the most part the story has since faded from the news. However, the damage remains.

When the crisis was at its peak, you may have heard about what specifically went wrong with the dam. The main spillway was damaged when the dam operators attempted to release some water to control the depth of Lake Oroville. Essentially, a crater unexpectedly emerged in the middle of the spillway, and when the water flowed through that hole, it eroded the soil beneath. So the dam operators decided to let the water flow over an emergency spillway instead. But as the emergency spillway began to erode as well, an evacuation order was issued.

But hearing that doesn’t really do it any justice. To really appreciate the magnitude of what occurred that day, you have to see it with your own eyes. And now you can.

On Monday the California Department of Water Resources stopped the flow of water down the spillway so that they could assess the damage. Here’s what they found:

From: NvaGvUp
01-Mar-17
Liberal policies at work!

From: Anony Mouse
05-Mar-17
Oroville: Riverbanks Start to Collapse After Dam Spillway Shut Off

When state water officials scaled back their mass dumping of water from the damaged Oroville Dam this week, they knew the riverbed below would dry up enough to allow the removal of vast piles of debris from the fractured main spillway.

But they apparently did not anticipate a side effect of their decision to stop feeding the gushing Feather River — a rapid drop in river level that, according to downstream landowners, caused miles of embankment to come crashing down.

With high water no longer propping up the shores, the still-wet soil crashed under its own weight, sometimes dragging in trees, rural roads and farmland, they said.

“The damage is catastrophic,” said Brad Foster, who has waterfront property in Marysville (Yuba County), about 25 miles south of Lake Oroville.

Learn More: http://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/ar...

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