Sitka Gear
CAES Blaming Hunters and Home Owners !
Connecticut
Contributors to this thread:
airrow 30-Mar-15
CTCrow 30-Mar-15
Toonces 30-Mar-15
bigbuckbob 30-Mar-15
airrow 30-Mar-15
airrow 09-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 09-Apr-15
Mike in CT 09-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 09-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 09-Apr-15
Mike in CT 09-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 09-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 09-Apr-15
Mike in CT 09-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 09-Apr-15
Mike in CT 09-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 09-Apr-15
Mike in CT 09-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 09-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 10-Apr-15
Mike in CT 10-Apr-15
Toonces 10-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 10-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 10-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 10-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 10-Apr-15
airrow 10-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 10-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 10-Apr-15
Toonces 10-Apr-15
Mike in CT 10-Apr-15
Toonces 10-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 10-Apr-15
grizzlyadam 10-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 10-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 10-Apr-15
Mike in CT 10-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 10-Apr-15
Mike in CT 10-Apr-15
Mike in CT 10-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 10-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 10-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 10-Apr-15
Mike in CT 10-Apr-15
airrow 10-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 11-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 11-Apr-15
Mike in CT 11-Apr-15
airrow 13-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 13-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 13-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 13-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 13-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 13-Apr-15
airrow 13-Apr-15
Mike in CT 13-Apr-15
Mike in CT 13-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 13-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 13-Apr-15
Mike in CT 13-Apr-15
Toonces 13-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 13-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 13-Apr-15
Toonces 13-Apr-15
Mike in CT 13-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 13-Apr-15
Bloodtrail 13-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 13-Apr-15
Mike in CT 13-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 14-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 14-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 14-Apr-15
airrow 14-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 14-Apr-15
Toonces 14-Apr-15
Mike in CT 14-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 14-Apr-15
Mike in CT 14-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 14-Apr-15
Mike in CT 14-Apr-15
Wild Bill 14-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 14-Apr-15
Mike in CT 14-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 14-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 15-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 15-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 15-Apr-15
Bloodtrail 15-Apr-15
airrow 15-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 15-Apr-15
Bloodtrail 15-Apr-15
bleydon 15-Apr-15
airrow 15-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 15-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 15-Apr-15
Toonces 15-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 15-Apr-15
airrow 15-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 15-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 15-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 15-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 15-Apr-15
Mike in CT 15-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 15-Apr-15
airrow 16-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 16-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 16-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 16-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 16-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 16-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 16-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 16-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 16-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 16-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 16-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 16-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 16-Apr-15
Toonces 16-Apr-15
Bloodtrail 16-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 16-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 16-Apr-15
Bloodtrail 16-Apr-15
Toonces 16-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 16-Apr-15
Toonces 16-Apr-15
Toonces 16-Apr-15
Mike in CT 16-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 16-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 16-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 16-Apr-15
Mike in CT 16-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 16-Apr-15
steve 17-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 17-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 17-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 17-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 17-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 17-Apr-15
Mike in CT 17-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 17-Apr-15
Toonces 17-Apr-15
Toonces 17-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 17-Apr-15
Toonces 17-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 17-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 17-Apr-15
Toonces 17-Apr-15
CTCrow 17-Apr-15
Mike in CT 17-Apr-15
onepin 17-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 17-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 17-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 17-Apr-15
steve 17-Apr-15
Mike in CT 17-Apr-15
Bloodtrail 17-Apr-15
Dr. Williams 17-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 18-Apr-15
Mike in CT 18-Apr-15
Bloodtrail 18-Apr-15
bigbuckbob 18-Apr-15
From: airrow
30-Mar-15
CAES Blaming local hunters and home Owners !

"Some funds were earmarked for estimated deer processing costs by White Buffalo, Inc. in the original project and subcontractor budgets for the integrated tick management project. Due to difficulties encountered in the performance of the work as a result of direct interference by members of the hunting community, the funds were authorized by Dr. Kirby Stafford to cover the extra time and effort needed to conduct the planned deer reduction activities to attempt to meet project objectives. Competing bait site placements and loss of shooting locations forced the subcontractor to spend additional time and effort in the performance of the contract ".

The statement above presumably came from Dr. Kirby Stafford of the CAES (CT Agricultural Experiment Station). I say “presumably” as it is much more common for an author of a statement to refer to themselves in the first person (“I authorized”, “The funds were authorized by me”, etc); usually speaking in the third person (as above) indicates the statement was likely written by someone else.

Regardless of who actually wrote this statement the purpose is crystal clear; an attempt is being made to blame the unsuccessful outcome of the ITM Study conducted in Redding, CT on “members of the hunting community and local property owners”. The purpose of this shameless deflection is of course to provide a rationale for why White Buffalo (the contractor hired by the CAES for the deer cull portion of the study) should not be required to pay back the $14,400 they were paid for the processing of deer they removed in 2013 and 2014. This is particularly hypocritical given that White Buffalo never had to pay for those deer to be processed, nor did they ever have to pay for any deer census or survey work during the entire ITM study.

The fact of the matter is that all processing fees were to be covered by Whitetail Solutions for up to 40 deer per year; White Buffalo would only have incurred processing charges above and beyond this number. This information all came to light due to an investigation of missing venison (approximately 2,350 lbs. or the weight equivalent of 58 deer) from the Hunt to Feed/Food Bank program during the years 2013 and 2014. It has been confirmed by Food Bank that they only received a total of 1,130 lbs. of venison during the years 2013-2015 from Whitetail Solutions and the CAES.

The total weight of venison taken during this 3-year period amounted to approximately 3,480 lbs.; why then does the amount received by Food Bank represent only 33% of the total weight of venison taken? Clearly there is a need for an explanation from the CAES and Whitetail Solutions as to where the rest (67% or 2,350lbs.) of the venison wound up.

From: CTCrow
30-Mar-15
Do you have a link to that statement?

If they didn't use the $14,400, it should be donated to hunt to feed so that they can process hunter donatd deer.

From: Toonces
30-Mar-15
I would like to see a link as well.

Those statements are very inflammaatory and ill concieved.

Unless homeowners or the hunting community broke some laws here or did something rising to the level of tortious interference, he is way out of line.

From: bigbuckbob
30-Mar-15
Wow!

WB couldn't shoot the deer over bait, at night, with high powered rifles and it was all due to other bait piles and the loss of a few sites by the property owners?! Really!!

How many times did we hear "Baiting in one area will NOT pull deer from other areas". But now they claim this as a cause for the low kill?

Why did landowners revote permission? I thought we heard over and over that they WANTED WB there, to kill all of the deer. It couldn't possible be due to incidents like the one where WB shot a deer and then dragged it back to the property where they had permission, could it?

And now, the deer that were killed never made to the soup kitchen! And some wonder why hunters don't trust the DEEP and CAES.

From: airrow
30-Mar-15
Mr. Kirby Stafford,

Unfortunately Mr. Kirby Stafford, we do not agree with your logic. White Buffalo, Inc. lost many shooting sites due to their own infractions of the DEEP authorization; shooting from their vehicle (17) deer, no call to neighboring properties within 500`as required and recovery of deer from properties not authorized under DEEP or town of Redding. White Buffalo did not meet their contract obligations of lowering the deer population(using your counts) to meet the CAES stated goal of 10-12 dpsm.

That being said, no party has the “authorization” to amend or delete a contract between parties without a formal submission of the substitute language (or a clear explanation of what language is to be removed) for all involved parties to review and sign off on. I sincerely hope that if this is the process you followed that you have the supporting documentation to confirm that proper contractual practices were followed.

White Buffalo was also overpaid by $28,155.00, (salary); by virtue of their contract obligations for year two being reduced by the CT DEEP (on 1/10/14) by 66.66%; ( 75 to 25 deer ).

White Buffalo should also be required to refund the processing payments of year one and two of $14,400.00, due to White Buffalo not performing or paying for any processing or census survey work.

Your irregularities with the CAES test sites in Redding, CT are disconcerting to say the least. In spite of clearly stated parameters for these test sites there was shooting occurring 1/2 mile outside of test sites, test sites boundaries were moved and expanded during the ITM study, and last but not least, if recent survey numbers by the CAES are to be believed (and there is ample reason not to) not meeting the study goal of 10-12 dpsm in year three for the test areas.

In 2015 White Buffalo was authorized to start culling deer as of 1/16/15 by the DEEP. The CAES stated through an IR survey conducted on 1/15/15 that the Pheasant Ridge test site had 47 Deer + 4 possible deer, yet White Buffalo harvested only 11 deer over a 5 day period, 6 of which came from the Pheasant Ridge test site, and billed the CAES ITM Study $20,069.22 for this work.

White buffalo only worked 5 days culling deer for a maximum time of ( 15 hours per day ) or 75 hours total and billed the CAES at a rate of $95.00 per hour; which comes to $7,125.00. White Buffalo submitted billing hours of 189.5 and overcharged the CAES by $10,877.50; and the CAES authorized the payment. During the 3 year ITM study White Buffalo has overcharged the CAES ITM study by; $53,432.00 and should be required to payback these funds.

White Buffalo had until 3/31/15 to take another 14 deer or ask the DEEP for an increase in take in order to make the test site goal of 10-12 deer. White Buffalo and the CAES pursued neither or these two options.

There is also another possible reason for White Buffalo not meeting the test site numbers of 10-12 deer; they over shot the number. The private FLIR showed 12 deer (filmed) on Pheasant Ridge and the CAES IR is suspected to have only shown 13 deer on film (it was reported as 47 definite deer and 4 possible deer yet in reviewing the film it appears that there may have been multiple counting of the same deer); yet White Buffalo removed 6 deer in this test site thereby reducing the total to 6 deer. The CAES stated through an IR survey conducted on 1/15/15 that the White Birch test site had 44 Deer + 1 possible, yet White Buffalo harvested only 5 deer over a 5 day period and billed the CAES ITM Study. The private FLIR survey showed 11 deer and White Buffalo removed 5; leaving only 6 deer. This would be under the specified 10-12 deer for both test sites the ITM study required, thus violating the contract.

The CAES's ability to count deer has been questionable at best throughout the three year study; in year one it was stated that you had reached under 10 deer per square mile in Pheasant Ridge; nine months later you claimed 45 dpsm in the same test area. White Buffalo has not meet any of his stated obligations under the ITM study. The CAES’s IR survey of 1/15/15 showed the aforementioned 44 deer (and 1 possible deer) at White Birch yet on 3/3/15 the CAES aerial survey revealed only 9 deer on this same test site. As only 5 deer were harvested this leaves 30 deer unaccounted for. Most reasonable, thinking individuals would find this large a discrepancy in accounting as deeply troubling as I do.

Mr. Stafford, your attempt to blame local hunters and home owners for the CAES and White Buffalo not meeting your ITM study goal of 10-12 deer (based on CAES surveys)in the test areas is simply without merit and a weak attempt at shifting blame. The failure to meet the ITM Study goal is due to nothing more than a lack of integrity and laziness on the part of both the CAES and White Buffalo, Inc.

Scot Sanford, Redding, CT

From: airrow
09-Apr-15
" The Hunt to Feed program was started by Whitetail Solutions and has been very successful. All funds were raised by our group's efforts and with some donations from area clubs and individuals. A lot of folks supported our Pluck A Buck at various Hunting shows which in turn contributed to paying for the processing of deer donated by hunters across the state. We have received Nonprofit status from the Feds and now we need donations from everyone including corporations for the program to continue. Hopefully the state will allow a check-off donation through the license sales for funding Hunt To Feed in the future. A great program that is a win for hunters and the hungry of our state! Jim Stowe WTS "

This statement was recently posted / made by Whitetail Solutions praising themselves and taking credit for what they say they have done at the expense of others. In recent years Whitetail Solutions has become the White Buffalo of archery as we know it, playing by their own set of rules (similar to WB) - shooting off site and after hours and seemingly being provided “cover” by CT DEEP Wildlife Management against prosecution. Most recently, they seem to have misappropriated some 58 deer; approximately 2,350 lbs. of processed venison from the ITM study in Redding, CT, earmarked for the "Food Bank" (soup kitchens) is unaccounted for. Whitetail Solutions claims that 1 deer provides 200 meals; so by their math these 58 deer represent approximately 11,600 meals for the less fortunate !

Today, Whitetail Solutions is promoting this program for their own gain and not following the rules set by the Food Bank program or the rules of the CDC ITM study that they were directly involved with.

Over the past nine months Whitetail Solutions has been sent three emails requesting their receipt of the missing 58 deer from the CDC CAES ITM study during 2013-2014; to date we have not received any response whatsoever from them; and the CAES assures us that Hunt to Feed; Whitetail Solutions received them. It is believed that they have been using this processed meat (venison) for their own activities; with less than 33% of the processed venison from the ITM study actually making it to " Food Bank " for distribution. When Scot Sanford of Redding picked up two deer this year for the Congregational Church in Redding, CT he was told that he could get more, but he would have to give them something of value (gas card, etc.). Please note-It is illegal to barter or sell whitetail deer or venison in the State of Connecticut.

From: bigbuckbob
09-Apr-15
Has it come to this? Become a commercial hunter or not be allowed to hunt? The DEEP has turned into the booking agent for these groups and has abondoned the sport hunters in the state, the very group that they once worked hand in hand with.

Sometimes I'm glad I'm old. I see some changes that scare me, I can see where things are headed. When hunting evolves into hired killers we will have lost part of heritage and that would be very sad.

From: Mike in CT
09-Apr-15
It occurs to me that the "missing venison" might not be missing after all. Perhaps, much like some people can't see deer in the woods that are "really" there, the workers at Large Game Company simply can't see "missing venison" that's really there in their freezers.

Perhaps, since the CAES is essentially running the show, Scott Williams could spend a day at Large Game Company and improve their freezer survey techniques; you know, point out how sometimes it's easy to mistake "missing venison" for venison that has hidden between the frozen vegetables for example.

Why, I'll bet after a day with Scott in their freezer they could wipe out the famine in Ethiopia with all the "missing venison" he'd find for them......

From: bigbuckbob
09-Apr-15
:) :)

From: Dr. Williams
09-Apr-15
I can tell you where they are. In the back room, right next to the pies.

From: Mike in CT
09-Apr-15
Must have been a lot of pies to conceal over 2,300 pounds of venison....

How soon do you plan to notify the foodbank of your discovery of the missing venison?

I'm sure they're anxious to hear that you've accounted for it as that's a lot of meals for the needy and I know the CAES wants to do right for such a worthy cause.

From: Dr. Williams
09-Apr-15
Dude. We followed DEEP's directive. Delivered them all there as directed. At that point, our involvement ended. What they did with them is beyond our control. We do not regulate their operation, we were simply following the terms of the DEEP Authorization. Will this never end?

From: Dr. Williams
09-Apr-15
Your logic is equivalent to blaming Bed Bath and Beyond for the marathon bombing because they sold pressure cookers to the Boston Bombers.

From: Mike in CT
09-Apr-15
Thank your for the clarification Scott, I think I understand your position better now. Your concern is limited to your personal absolution, not the lack of meals for the needy.

I'm sure that will provide much greater comfort to them than a few meals ever could. Perhaps they'll have an equally high appreciation for your level of sensitivity as will any employee of Bed, Bath & Beyond for your tactless rejoinder at their expense.

From: Dr. Williams
09-Apr-15
If your concerns are truly that of the needy, why are you posting said concerns on a bowhunting website?

From: Mike in CT
09-Apr-15
Where did I say I was limiting the posting of my concerns to the Bowsite?

From: Dr. Williams
09-Apr-15
I never suggested you were limiting your posts to bowsite, merely inquiring why you were posting said concerns on a bowhunting site. It couldn't be a lame attempt at a continued smear campaign that has jumped the shark, could it now??

From: Mike in CT
09-Apr-15
Scott,

It's funny you mention a smear campaign; how else would you characterize the unsubstantiated accusations made by Kirby Stafford listed in the opening post as anything other than a smear campaign?

If you want to try and cast the CAES as a friend of hunters of course it's appropriate to cite chapter and verse of instances where the CAES has been anything BUT a friend to hunters on the Bowsite.

As long as we're swapping metaphors; Wolf in sheep's clothing ring a bell?

From: Dr. Williams
09-Apr-15
Unsubstantiated. Right. Shall I post Sanford's endless and daily emails to my superiors and DEEP staff? Shall I post the EnCon report where Glen admits to counter-baiting on town land, says it's super easy to know where WB is working because he merely calls the cops and they tell him, and that he wears body armor and wears night vision to "keep an eye on WB." How about Sanfords messages where he is following me and my colleague around from site to site videoing us as we bait. Yeah. Unsubstantiated. The poor hunters are 100% innocent victims. Not to mention your constant harangues on this site. Give us all a break. You are not fooling anyone.

From: bigbuckbob
10-Apr-15
Dr Willaims

I find it very disturbing that the CAES wipes their hands of the missing venison by stating once the deer were dead it was of no concern to you where they ended up!

Do have any evidence that the deery even went to the butcher? If the terms of the agreement with WB was that all venison should go to the food bank, then CAES SHOULD be held accountable for WB breaking the terms of the agreement, but it appears conflict of interest and lack of accountability with tax payers funds is par for the course.

As for certain people following you around and monitoring what WB is doing is NOT harrassment. I would welcome anyone to follow me in my daily routine at work because I have nothing to hide. In fact, my areas of responsibility get audited every months for ISO certification, NMI certification annually, interal audits for Sarbanes / Oxley complicance annually, 6S audit and EHS audits weekly. These are all part of making sure were doing our jobs in an ethical, responsible manner. I guess this is a novel idea for the state of CT work force.

From: Mike in CT
10-Apr-15
Bob,

I find the conduct of the CAES to have been remarkably consistent throughout the "study"; misrepresent the study as universally applicable to the control of Lyme disease when all the evidence cited (pertinent to killing deer) is limited to success in insular settings, not open settings like Redding, engage in a contractual relationship that is a clear conflict of interest at tax-payer expense, attempt to marginalize legitimate questions involving this expenditure of taxpayer funds and then attempt to blame anyone and everyone when they failed to meet the "goal" they used to sell this "study".

Talk about not fooling anyone here!

Do you think anyone who's been following this story doesn't wonder why so many helicopter surveys have been flown since mid-January? Amazingly, for all those tax-payer dollars spent the best you can offer up as supporting evidence to your deer density claims is a couple of pictures of 3-4 doe groups; hardly compelling evidence of the hordes of deer you continually "harangue" about here, supposedly roaming the streets and by-ways of lower Fairfield County.

Ironically, for all the time you've spent demagoguing Vision Air (even 5 weeks ahead of their report by the way) their results would have actually validated your study goal of 10-12 dpsm; instead you huff and puff about "your" numbers that have deer densities right about where they started and hang the label of "complete and utter failure" of your "study" around your neck like the albatross around the neck of the Ancient Mariner. Great strategy genius.

For a guy who claims to not talk about "town-wide" deer densitites it's ironic again how many times you make unsubstantiated claims that anyone believing single-digit deer densities is delusional; of course if you extrapolated your numbers you could make that claim; except you claim you don't do that; except when you do that to support your unsubstantiated claims; well, except you don't do that. Yeah, clear as mud and infinitely self-contradictory. Familiar song and dance from the king of the tap-dance.

I know it must really irk you to have the unwashed, illiterate masses dare to question you; how dare anyone read an aerial survey report that describes 10 transects, spaced 650 feet apart and do basic math and arrive at the irrefutable conclusion that 6,500 feet isn't a mile (it's 5,280 feet) and that your densities per square mile are about as flawed and misrepresented as the majority of your musings here.

How dare the great unwashed point out baiting outside of study areas and shootings half-a-mile outside same; what do this people no about reading a map? Well, actually when you post the maps I imagine most 5-year olds could put down the crayons long enough to draw the same conclusion.

No agenda? Not hardly; Redding was more than a "study", it was a trial balloon for an agenda about deer (MIS)management in CT and using hunters as the vehicle (tool) to that end. Why else run Howard Kilpatrick's article 3 times in the past 9 months in National publications? Spread the wealth as it were. Sorry, but like the titular characters in The Wizard of Oz we've seen the man behind the curtain and we are most assuredly paying attention.

Finally, as Bob stated so eloquently, your washing your hands of this missing venison is not in concert with the followings statement (page 9 of your request for authorization to the CT DEEP):

"Removal of deer carcasses will be handled locally and Joe Tucker of Connecticut Hunt to Feed has agreed to pay the butchering costs of 40 deer/year and will coordinate venison donation to food banks in New Haven County."

If you want to guarantee a service as part of your authorization that guarantee is in force up until such time as delivery to the Food Bank. If you want to take the credit you also get to take the blame when things go awry. That's called responsibility, a concept seemingly foreign to you.

Fooling anyone? Please-you haven't fooled anyone but yourself. Denial, not just a river in Africa.

From: Toonces
10-Apr-15
Mike,

Interesting point about Vision Air validating the study goal.

Given WB participation in the study I would say the goal of the study is that 10 deer per square mile = less lyme disease.

That result can then be marketed by WB as a means to get more business killing deer.

My theory is this. The lyme disease reduction results are not what WB and perhaps Doc had hoped. The best manner to save face is to argue that the deer per square mile have not been adequately reduced and that the study was compromised by hunters. Definately could be wrong on this but it would seem to support everything I am reading.

A conclusion that deer reduction does not have a significant impact on lyme disease is not in the best interest of WB so if the facts point to that conclusion, it is possible that the facts will be challenged rather than accepting the conclusion.

Goes back to question I posed earlier. Has DeNicola and WB ever been involved with a deer reduction study where it was determined that killing more deer did not result in a favorable ouotcome. I tend to doubt it. Assuming no, in the legal sense I would compare him with a for hire expert witness, where the testimony always supports the side that is paying the bill.

From: bigbuckbob
10-Apr-15
Toonces

great points!! I'm placing my money on your theory, so time will tell.

Can anyone tell me why Dr Williams continues to post on this site? He doesn't listen to the hunting community and says we're too stupid to understand the science behind what the state is trying to do. He finds fault with private citizens spending their own money to improve their knowledge and discover the facts rather than sit back and be complacent. As long as you don't challenge his statements he'll engage you in a dialague, but it only appears to be self serving when he does.

The only conclusion I can come to is he has nothing better to do.

From: Dr. Williams
10-Apr-15

Dr. Williams's embedded Photo
Dr. Williams's embedded Photo

From: Dr. Williams
10-Apr-15

Dr. Williams's embedded Photo
Dr. Williams's embedded Photo
This from DEEP Authorization

From: Dr. Williams
10-Apr-15

Dr. Williams's Link
Bob, what proof do you have that this venison is in fact missing? The Kangaroo Court of Bowsite? The claims here are baseless and ridiculous and stem from the fact that Whitetail Solutions did not respond to emails. 59 Redding deer from 2013-2015 went to Large Game Company per the agreement with DEEP and Whitetail Solutions. You can read that DEEP required we donate venison to the Hunt to Feed program, which we did. We are not “wiping our hands,” just following the terms of our Authorization. It is not our charge to investigate the Hunt to Feed operation; that would fall under DEEP jurisdiction, and it was DEEP who required we donate through said program.

Mike, will your nonsense ever cease? Are you delusional? Trial agenda? What? Why are you such an angry man who disagrees with everything I say, continue to talk down to me, make things personal and insult me? Now, what if I were to say the sky was blue? If I post here that I am against world hunger, would you counter-post that you are pro-world hunger? The numerous helicopter surveys were done by CAES and DEEP to validate/dispute the Vision Air and Davis Aviation surveys, which were in stark contrast to one another. And guess what, there are three survey techniques whose results are very close to one another and one that stands out on its own, and conveniently, that is the one you stubbornly stand by. “Flawed and misrepresented musings?” Seriously? I can back my “musings” here with hard data. Can you say the same? No, yours are merely backed with insults.

Toonces, if that were the case, why in Redding was the take for 2014 up considerably from 2013? In all of Glen’s postings of how much take was down in surrounding towns, you’ll notice he conveniently leaves out Redding’s data. In 2014, Redding’s take was 156 (116 archery, 37 shotgun/rifle, 3 muzzleloader) and that is up 11% from 2013 (92 archery, 40 shotgun/rifle, 9 muzzleloader). This would not be possible if densities had dropped to what you are suggesting. No one in Fairfield County can truly fathom what 7 deer/sm looks like. Realistically, if densities were in fact that low, why are the MA guys leaving similar densities to drive several hours to FF County, and leave with dozens of deer each year? You can reference Glen’s pie thread where he validates all the pies they leave with. Or the photo Glen provided of their replacement tag data from Redding Ridge market. Come on now. Let’s be serious. No one believes single digit deer densities in FF County. If that were the case, why was FF County ranked #1 best place to hunt in the East by Field and Stream? See link.

Bob. I ask myself the same question. And to answer why I post here, it is to offer what is actually happening in terms of wildlife management. I think most guys here get it, except for you, Mike, Toonces, and Glen. Bloodtrail gives me grief, but he understands where I am coming from. And I refuse to sit idly by and let a handful of guys spread lies and misinformation and perpetuate crazy conspiracy theories and tout ridiculous claims of insanely low deer densities merely because a private individual paid way too much for a flawed aerial survey. Frankly, I care about hunting and the field of wildlife management too much to let a handful of misinformed, Internet cowboys destroy our public image and ruin hunting for the rest of us.

From: airrow
10-Apr-15

airrow's embedded Photo
airrow's embedded Photo
Scott;

This is the original letter stating " Food Bank " and " Redding Congregational Church "; and does not refer to various Connecticut Food Banks / and or non-profit organizations. Food Bank received 1,130 lbs. from the Redding, CT shoot over the 3 years. That leaves approximately 2,350 lbs. of venison unaccounted for. These figures are from the " Food Bank ".

From: bigbuckbob
10-Apr-15
Dr Williams

very first word says - ALL. Terms and conditions of the contract were violated, thank you for verifying what Glen, Mike and others have been saying.

If no one from the state verified that ALL deer were donated as outlined then I can't see any possible way that you could say you weren't accountable for where they deer went?

From: Dr. Williams
10-Apr-15
Yup, and I personally packed the freezer at the church to the gills with the venison butchered in NY in 2013. The 2013 and 2015 letters also references carcasses needed to be transported to Oxford, where Large Game is located. I guess I'm not understanding the point of this. The 2015 letter of support mentions Large Game specifically because my error in thinking they would foot the bill not realizing they have their own butcher. Again, we followed DEEP's terms. If you have a problem with their program, take it up with DEEP.

From: Toonces
10-Apr-15
Doc,

I really don't know what to believe for sure.

What I do know is long before the results of the private FLIR were released you taking shots at the FLIR provider and trying to discredit those results.

Your a scientist. Why would a scientist try to discredit something before you have objectively reviewed the results? You didn't even allow for the possibility that the private FLIR might assist you or at least provide you additional data or insight. Shouldn't an open minded scientist want all the data he can get?

I also see CAES blaming deer hunters for compromising a study, also before the study results are complete. Again it doesn't make much sense to me.

If however I look at this through the lens of CAES and the folks performing the study, including WB had a outcome in mind, then it starts to make sense. Lets face it. You were granted a million dollars to do a tick study. WB is involved with a tick study and despite the PHD after Dinicola's name, his agenda here is pretty easily called into question.

To me your actions here (particularly trying to discredit the FLIR before you see the results) only make sense if you have preconcieved notion of what the results of your tick study should be. If your completely neutral on this and don't care what the conclusion of your study is, you would welcome all the input you can get.

From: Mike in CT
10-Apr-15
Scott,

I'll gladly stop posting factual information as soon as you acknowledge and/or complete the following:

1. Answer Toonces question about the survey method that validates your claim about "the public wants deer killed." Be sure to post the survey questions and all data metrics. You're a scientist; I'm sure you'd expect to see study metrics before you'd accept, sight unseen, anyone's hypothesis.

2. Admit that you spent 5 weeks vilifying Vision Air because you weren't as convinced as you'd like others here to believe regarding actual deer densities in Redding. On a related note please present a plausible explanation for the lack of evidence (film) despite dropping $30K of taxpayer funds (I'm sure you could have sprung for a few disposable cameras at a minimum).

3. Admit that you posted a misinformed screed (posted as your analysis of the Vision Air Survey results) that was quickly debunked and showed how clueless you were in all areas of their survey work.

4. Admit that your study is nothing more than a re-invention of the wheel; specifically that all the parameters have already been tested and the data published.

5. Admit that there is an ample reservoir of peer-reviewed literature showing methods that do not involve the eradication of deer have demonstrated great efficacy in reduction of lyme incidence.

6. Admit that engaging an employer of yours in a contractual relationship and spending $141K of taxpayer funds was inappropriate.

7. Admit that you lack the maturity to accept contrary viewpoints and that contrary to your claims the one who has talked down to and belittled the other side with the greatest consistency is none other than you.

8. Admit that per the terms of the scope of authorization you do bear responsibility for the delivery of all venison donations to the food bank as specified.

In the spirit of the Easter season I will concede that the sky is blue and I am also against world hunger.

I will not concede however to any internet bully, nor will I bow and scrape before any individual with an overinflated sense of accomplishment or worth. To quote my teenage daughter, "you ain't all that dude."

FYI, I like cowboy movies, particularly the spaghetti westerns Clint Eastwood made.

From: Toonces
10-Apr-15
The Good the Bad and the Ugly is one of the greatest films ever made.

The scene where Tuco and the "Man with no Name" walk down the street and pick off Angel Eyes' men in a hail of cannon fire gives my chills every time. Its magic.

I actually tear up occassionaly during the scene where Angel Eyes and his henchman beat the hell out of Tuco while the prisoner band play in the back ground.

And of course the closing gun fight is movie history.

The whole thing is genuis.

Sorry to get off the rails there.

From: bigbuckbob
10-Apr-15
Dr Williams should have been a politician, he's great at not answering direct questions with direct answers.

You didn't follow the terms of the contract if ALL deer were not brought to donation areas mentioned.

So I ask again, did you or any other CAES employee verify that ALL deer shot ended up with the charities mentioned??

From: grizzlyadam
10-Apr-15
Don't give him any ideas Bob, he would fit in perfectly in Hartford.

I recall a thread last year from scotty (aka odo), where he was pushing for the legal sale of venison. That got me wondering about all the missing deer. I'm sure it was all in good intentions though. Results are meaningless when intentions are good.

From: Dr. Williams
10-Apr-15
--Mike, see my responses within the body of your post.

Scott, I'll gladly stop posting factual information as soon as you acknowledge and/or complete the following:

1. Answer Toonces question about the survey method that validates your claim about "the public wants deer killed." Be sure to post the survey questions and all data metrics. You're a scientist; I'm sure you'd expect to see study metrics before you'd accept, sight unseen, anyone's hypothesis.

--DEEP is responding to the public’s call for reduction in deer densities statewide. Why else would they institute a 4.5 month season with unlimited take in densely populated areas of the state? Again, it is the democratic process. And now we are seeking additional opportunity for take on Sundays, because hunters cannot achieve publically acceptable deer densities in 119 days of hunting, they need the additional 19 days to get that accomplished.

2. Admit that you spent 5 weeks vilifying Vision Air because you weren't as convinced as you'd like others here to believe regarding actual deer densities in Redding. On a related note please present a plausible explanation for the lack of evidence (film) despite dropping $30K of taxpayer funds (I'm sure you could have sprung for a few disposable cameras at a minimum).

--Nope. I still maintain Vision Air’s data are junk. But she is smart I will give her that. She explains her method, equipment, the time spent, area covered, and what she saw. Never does she mention an actual density. She left that up to interpretation and here we are. But her methodology is garbage. If you won’t take my word for it, take Larry’s. See what I posted in the Davis IR Thread. The plausible explanation for lack of film is that we did not film the surveys from the helicopter. We are not equipped to do so and don’t need to anyway because we are ethical scientists seeking the truth. We did provide you the film from the IR camera survey data and as I recall, Larry Davis put you in your place with your “review” of his work. All the doubt on our methodology and inflated numbers and all that is the very reason that DEEP paid to bring Siburn up and show him. He helped count 36 deer on Pheasant Ridge, with 80% detection, that’s 45 deer/sm. And both he and Rick were first time observers and it would be pretty remarkable if they detected 100% of the deer. Even so, 36 deer/sm is a handsome abundance and over 3 times what Vision Air detected there.

3. Admit that you posted a misinformed screed (posted as your analysis of the Vision Air Survey results) that was quickly debunked and showed how clueless you were in all areas of their survey work.

--I used the information she provided, that she had 800’-wide transects and that her camera had a field of vision of 360’ straight down. Admittedly, I am not a pilot and have never operated an IR camera from the air. All I can determine is what she provided and that was not well explained in her report. Clearly she thought so too because she added the middle sentence to the Newtown report that came out after, and was not included in, the Redding report: “At 1,000 ft. above ground level looking straight down using the wide FOV the footprint or area covered by the sensor is 360 ft. x 234 ft. while the narrow FOV provides a footprint 90 ft. x 59 ft. This information on the field of view footprint is for reference only since we use an oblique look angle allowing coverage of the entire transect. The sensor operator / wildlife biologist sat in the rear seat and watched a high resolution 15 in. monitor to aim and focus sensor.”

4. Admit that your study is nothing more than a re-invention of the wheel; specifically that all the parameters have already been tested and the data published.

--Wrong again. Each treatment has been tested separately. None have been tested in combination, particularly the Met-52. That and the fact that deer removal alone has never been investigated as a tick reduction method in an inland setting is what makes this study unique.

5. Admit that there is an ample reservoir of peer-reviewed literature showing methods that do not involve the eradication of deer have demonstrated great efficacy in reduction of lyme incidence.

--Yes, but mostly from a modeling perspective. Ostfeld, who you guys love because he is the one scientist that does not implicate deer, has done most of his works with models. He is pretty much alone in his take on not implicating deer. 99% of the rest of us have a sneaking suspicion they play a huge role in the tick life cycle, and we were trying to prove/disprove that with this study. On the flip side, Howard’s paper is kind of pivotal because it shows that deer reduction alone can reduce Lyme disease cases in humans, not just reduce tick abundances. Perhaps that is why it has made national media so frequently as of late.

6. Admit that engaging an employer of yours in a contractual relationship and spending $141K of taxpayer funds was inappropriate.

--It was perfectly appropriate. It is a professional working relationship between two entities striving to improve public health of all citizens, and not just catering to hunters. For you guys to suggest we received this grant just to pay a colleague is preposterous. This was a small side project for WBI. Given the headache and knowing what he knows now, he wouldn’t have taken it. I am a Co-Investigator on the project, Dr. Stafford is the Lead Investigator. He is the Chief Entomologist of the State of Connecticut and he makes the final decisions on this project.

7. Admit that you lack the maturity to accept contrary viewpoints and that contrary to your claims the one who has talked down to and belittled the other side with the greatest consistency is none other than you.

--Right. The proof is all right here on this site. Nice try. One needs to merely look at your previous post here and the rest of them and all of Glen’s “Where are all the deer” rants from way back when, when he talks of me having only a 5th grade education and accuses me of a felony, among other ridiculous and libelous statements. I can provide links to all those too if you want. I have been getting it from about a dozen of you guys at any one time, and I am merely fending each of you off one at a time. See here for a definition of libel: “to publish in print (including pictures), writing or broadcast through radio, television or film, an untruth about another which will do harm to that person or his/her reputation, by tending to bring the target into ridicule, hatred, scorn or contempt of others.” Yup. This has been going on since the start of the project and is why I finally came here to defend myself and colleagues. For you to claim it is reversed is embarrassingly preposterous.

8. Admit that per the terms of the scope of authorization you do bear responsibility for the delivery of all venison donations to the food bank as specified.

-- We satisfied the terms of the Scope of Authorization. I provided the wording previously in this thread: “All deer taken shall be donated to the Hunt to Feed program. . .” And that they were. End of story.

In the spirit of the Easter season I will concede that the sky is blue and I am also against world hunger.

I will not concede however to any internet bully, nor will I bow and scrape before any individual with an overinflated sense of accomplishment or worth. To quote my teenage daughter, "you ain't all that dude."

--The fact that you are calling me an internet bully is certainly the pot calling the kettle black. Because I am literate and can answer your questions, even though they are not the answers you all seek, makes me informed, not a bully.

FYI, I like cowboy movies, particularly the spaghetti westerns Clint Eastwood made.

--So now will you “. . .gladly stop posting factual information. . .” as promised at the beginning of this post because I “. . acknowledge[d] and/or complete[d] the following:”? So, is that a promise that from now on, you will only be posting lies?

From: Dr. Williams
10-Apr-15
Toonces. You are correct. I am a scientist. And I have been doing aerial deer surveys for over 13 years now. I know lots of other scientists and biologists and I know which techniques work and which don't. I know which companies provide reliable results and which don't. I know that when a cohort of people in this game seek low deer density data, they go with Vision Air. It happens this way all the time, you guys are just seeing it for the first time, and Vision Air's results are always about 25% detection. Again, a spotlight survey would yield better detection. Can you explain to me why it took Larry Davis 3 hours to do 4 square miles and Vision Air did all of Redding, 32 square miles, in 3.5 hours? And in Newtown she covered each square mile in 4 minutes? It takes me an hour to survey 1 square mile and Larry Davis 45 minutes. What techniques do you think will result in higher detection? If you spend time looking for deer, you will find them. If you cover 160 acres/minute, you can't possibly expect decent results.

Hunters had a direct impact on our ability to take enough deer to reach goal densities for the project. Our DEEP Authorization to take deer expired March 31. You can do the math.

Dr. DeNicola is a sharpshooter yes, but also a well-published and well respected scientist. You clearly do not agree with sharpshooting deer, but that is a minor part of his work. Right now he is capturing hogs on Guam.

You need not question my scientific methods and suggest I have a preconceived notion of the study results. Deer removal is a minor aspect of this project that required minimal time from me. But it is the entire project to you guys. My crew and I captured and bloodletted 234 mice, some chipmunks, shrews, and voles in Redding in 2013 and 598 mice and some other bycatch in 2014. That was a lot of work but you guys don't care about that aspect of the project all you care about are the deer. I will let the tick numbers tell me the story and publish on those. But deer removal likely played no role because we were not able to take enough, the question will still remain unanswered, and Redding now has 87 fewer deer that were not taken by hunters.

From: Mike in CT
10-Apr-15
Scott,

At least you took a stab at it; you deserve credit for that much.

#1-still unanswered and as nebulous an explanation as I'd expect from the legislature on our budget.

#2-you're entitled to your opinion (as is Mr. Davis). See Glen's post about some of the claims made and their falling down in the face of evidence. Try and explain too why he'd have approached Susan Bernatas about a partnership given his professed disdain for her qualifications. Business seek out partnerships where there is benefit of one form or another.

#3-you have a point about the addendum to the Newtown report; however, researching your conclusion prior to your post would have made that a moot point. Objectivity took a backseat to personal bias in this case.

#4-I didn't say that the parameters were tested at the same time, just that they were tested. It was a fair assumption on your part so this one I'll concede.

#5-good answer; credit given where due.

#6-Sorry, if you don't see the issue you may want to grab a book or two on business ethics, especially involving government contracts. I know Bob's in the same boat as me on that score; both of us would be polishing up our resumes with our jobs if we'd crossed that line.

#7-Sadly I'm sure you typed your response with a straight face. I'm sure I'm not alone in finding your inability to see your Lord of the Manor approach is present more often than not.

#8-The Food Bank seems to have a contrary opinion. My understanding from Glen is he has documentation to that effect; should we ask him to post it?

Pot meet kettle. I could ask Bob about how many times and ways you questioned his intellect but that would be redundant. Answering questions usually means in the completeness of the request; not tap-dances or half-hearted stabs, the full, unvarnished truth.

"You need not question my scientific methods and suggest I have a preconceived notion of the study results."

Given what you've posted that was a valid observation. Your response (basically "how dare you!!") is a perfect example of your bullying those who dare question you. Get over yourself.

From: Dr. Williams
10-Apr-15
Go ahead. Knock my socks off with your clandestine intell. It's moot anyway as we satisfied the terms of our the DEEP Authorization by donating the venison to Hunt to Feed. Let me guess, the Food Bank only received x poundage and based on your per deer calculation it should be more like 2x poundage? Your attempts to implicate me in this are lame at best. The deer portion of the study is over and we met the DEEP requirements. If your beef is with that charitable organization, then approach the appropriate agency with your concerns.

From: Mike in CT
10-Apr-15
Knock my socks off with your clandestine intell.

Clandestine; like posting under a fake name you mean? That did wonders for your credibility.....

Your attempts to implicate me in this are lame at best.

What is your fixation with taking credit? Asking for an accounting is legitimate if the terms stated "all" and the recepients says they didn't get "all".

Still waiting on that citation about extrapolating a sample population when the population in question does not assume an equal spacial distribution.

Maybe your alter ego Odo can pitch in and help in the search.....

From: Mike in CT
10-Apr-15

Scott,

Just for you and Odo.....

From: bigbuckbob
10-Apr-15
Mike

the best news Doc Williams ever provided - the WB experiment is over! I'm surprised he has so much time to play with us. I would have guessed he'd busy analyzing all of the data, facts, figures, transects, mice, venison, etc to determine the results of his "scientific" study and publishing his paper in the Journal of Tick Science.

In the end, I'm going back to my hunting spots, at least for another few years until I'm too old to pull back the bow and I'll have forgotten all about Doc Williams and all the fun we had together. But then again, I probably won't remember anything by then. Gotta go and get a price on adult diapers.

From: Dr. Williams
10-Apr-15
A little off topic Mike. I guess I must have hit the nail on the head with your damning intell. Do you concede?

Yup. My favorite tee shirt states merely "Paddle faster, I hear banjos." The only guy who has gotten it was the local pizza guy, who hit the floor in laughter.

From: Dr. Williams
10-Apr-15
This directly from a DEEP biologist:

"Aerial deer surveys serve as an index and people get too wrapped up in the total number, when what is important is 1) whether a given deer population is increasing, decreasing or stable and 2) what is the management goal for that zone to increase, decrease or maintain at the same level.

Management goals are based on aerial survey results, deer/vehicle collisions, harvest, crop damage issues, homeowner complaints, species diversity, plant diversity, forest regeneration and the desires of deer hunters.

The bottom line, deer management is complex with many variables, many players, few absolutes and no simple solutions."

From: Mike in CT
10-Apr-15
You know Scott, that statement from the DEEP biologist is exactly what I've stated the intended purpose of the aerial survey method was from day 1; to monitor trends within a population (increasing, decreasing or stable).

A little late to the dance but at least ya brought me flowers....

From: airrow
10-Apr-15
Scott;

In 2013 the Food Bank received 635 lbs. of venison on ( 3/1/13 and 3/11/13 ). Missing venison for 2013 is approximately 1,405 lbs. or 35 deer. No venison was received or logged in by the Redding Congregational Church in 2013 from the ITM study.

In 2014 the Food Bank received 140 lbs. of venison on ( 4/2/14 ). Missing venison for 2014 is approximately 845 lbs. or 21 deer.

In 2015 the Food Bank received 365 lbs. of venison on ( 1/26/15 ); which leaves approximately 2,350 lbs. of venison unaccounted for to date from the ITM study in Redding, CT.

Please email me your receipt or log in date for venison you say; you " packed the freezer ", at Redding Congregational Church; the church has nothing logged in for either 2013 or 2014.

Scot Sanford delivered the last two deer to the Redding Congregational Church in 2015.

From: Dr. Williams
11-Apr-15
At Georgina's suggestion, I packed one of those freezers full and the other about 1/3 full in that out/side building by the church in 2013. My technician assisted me, you know, the guy who was with me when Sanford was following us house to house in February videoing us. That same guy. I even left my business card on top. I wasn't aware that 2 years later, a crew of guys would be hounding me, so I never signed this "venison log" if it even exists. I didn't even weigh how much went in there, just drove it from NY to Redding and packed the freezer. Hell, I thought we were doing a good thing. I'll post the email conversation with the contact person from the church next week if I can dig it up.

DEEP required all venison be donated, and it was. You are not going to find any wrong doing on our end, because we only abided by the terms of the DEEP Authorization.

From: Dr. Williams
11-Apr-15
Mike. That has not been your message. Your message has been that I am lying, Glen is the bomb.com, and because Glen paid for the aerial survey, we should all believe that that is the correct number. Sorry bro, doesn't work like that.

From: Mike in CT
11-Apr-15
Scott,

Nice try but no sale. I can post all the times I referenced the purpose of the aerial survey method but you know as does everyone here that you just posted EXACTLY what I've been saying all along.

I'm still waiting for a peer-reviewed citation of the validity of extrapolating population samples when the target population does not assume an equal spatial distribution.

You can waste time and obfuscate or you can admit what you and I both know; there is no such reference out there.

That's the problem you run into when you try and fudge your way out of the corner you painted yourself into. You can only ridicule lower deer densities by extrapolating your sample data. That becomes the proverbial millstone around your neck though when you're asked to deliver the goods; the source that validates that method.

The one area you've been remarkably consistent in is that inability to admit when you've either been dead wrong or tried to put one over on the masses and gotten caught.

Regarding survey number disparity; I see you're still playing dodge ball with the White Birch numbers. Let me recap; Vision Air, 11 raw, CAES 3/3 survey 9 raw, Davis, 44 definite, 1 possible. As WB took 5 deer that leaves 29 or 30 unaccounted for by your "gold standard".

Most people would agree that 11 is a lot closer to 9 than 44 or 45 is. Spin away on that one.

Regarding lying; when you send a letter out that tabs the virtues of reducing deer densitites to reduce lyme incidence but fail to mention that those results have not been achieved in open settings that is a lie; a lie of omission.

Not just semantics either, though some people seem to feel the lies of commission are the more egregious offense.

In an nutshell Scott, you haven't made any case for staking out the moral high ground. I'm not perfect either by any stretch but at least I've never created a fake persona to post my thoughts and feelings on any subject matter, not here or anywhere else.

Physician, heal thyself.

From: airrow
13-Apr-15
Scott Williams, statement -

Toonces, if that were the case, why in Redding was the take for 2014 up considerably from 2013? In all of Glen’s postings of how much take was down in surrounding towns, you’ll notice he conveniently leaves out Redding’s data. In 2014, Redding’s take was 156 (116 archery, 37 shotgun/rifle, 3 muzzleloader) and that is up 11% from 2013 (92 archery, 40 shotgun/rifle, 9 muzzleloader). This would not be possible if densities had dropped to what you are suggesting. No one in Fairfield County can truly fathom what 7 deer/sm looks like. Realistically, if densities were in fact that low, why are the MA guys leaving similar densities to drive several hours to FF County, and leave with dozens of deer each year? You can reference Glen’s pie thread where he validates all the pies they leave with. Or the photo Glen provided of their replacement tag data from Redding Ridge market. Come on now. Let’s be serious. No one believes single digit deer densities in FF County. If that were the case, why was FF County ranked #1 best place to hunt in the East by Field and Stream? See link.

Scott; Your response to Tooces is incorrect........ You seem to be confusing years 2013 and 2014 for Redding, CT. In 2013 the overall harvest was 156 deer, ( 92,40,9,15 ) and in 2014 the harvest was 130, ( 90,37,3 ); which represents a decline from 2013 to 2014 of 16.66%. Anyone that hunts zone 11 knows what single digit deer numbers look like.

The CAES stated there were 45+ dpsm in the Pheasant Ridge test area 1/16/15. White Buffalo and the CAES had until 3/31/15, ( 59 days ) to take another 14 deer or ask the DEEP for an increase in take in order to make the ITM test site goal of 10-12 deer. White Buffalo and the CAES pursued neither or these two options. Why ?

From: bigbuckbob
13-Apr-15
Mike

you're 100% correct. You have stated repeatedly that the aerial surveys should only be used to determine trending for the specific area within the survey limits, and not extended to the entire town or other areas.

It amazes me that Scott can make a statement like that and think that no one is paying attention to the previous posts!!

From: Dr. Williams
13-Apr-15
Conveniently, to make the numbers work him, Glen includes crop kill for 2013 and omits both crop kill and January archery for 2014 (Jan archery is included in the previous fall tally.) Situation normal. Don't let the facts get in the way of your mission.

I can't begin to count how many guys just blew milk through their nose while eating their cereal when reading this quote "Anyone that hunts zone 11 knows what single digit deer numbers look like."

From: Dr. Williams
13-Apr-15

Dr. Williams's embedded Photo
Dr. Williams's embedded Photo
From the 2013 deer program summary.

From: Dr. Williams
13-Apr-15

Dr. Williams's embedded Photo
Dr. Williams's embedded Photo
2014 harvest from DEEP from mid-Feb.

From: Dr. Williams
13-Apr-15
So Mike, what you are saying is that in our 4 square mile areas, deer are uniformly distributed and that is why it is not a representative subsample of the town?

From: airrow
13-Apr-15
In 2013 total Redding harvest was 156 deer............Here we have Scotts` table for Redding combining 2014 ( 130 ) deer harvest numbers with 2015 January ( 26 ) harvest numbers to get 156 deer. The CT DEEP has not listed crop kill for Redding, CT 2014.

From: Mike in CT
13-Apr-15
Glen,

I can't think of anything quite so comical as a post where you're chided for not including 2014 crop permit deer kills when the chart posted for 2014 as a "rebuttal" doesn't have a column for "crop permit kills".

Maybe the assumption was that you are a clairvoyant and could consult the astral plane for a number that doesn't yet exist, or may not exist at all.

I also would have to note it becomes painfully obvious who is and who is not a bowhunter; the January season is counted in the calendar year it occurs in; the tags you purchase in 2014 are no good in January of 2015, that is a separate, new season.

The 2015 season runs as follows: Jan 1-31st in Zones 11 & 12, bowhunting only, private land only and then Sept 15-Dec 31st in all zones, state and private land.

The harvest statistics for 2015 begin with the first reported deer kill in Jan 2015.

Of course, the easiest way to see how deer are counted towards harvest year is in the confirmation numbers themselves. The confirmation number is a 7-digit number and the first 2 numbers are the last 2 digits of the year the deer was killed in.

For example:

2012 would be 1203402

2013 would be 1305226

2014 would be 1413004

(numbers above used with the permission of the bowhunter involved)

2014 Harvest reports include only 2014 harvest numbers; Jan (2014) season and then Sep 15-Dec 31-period.

Some people just don't know when to remain silent.....

From: Mike in CT
13-Apr-15
"Mike you're 100% correct. You have stated repeatedly that the aerial surveys should only be used to determine trending for the specific area within the survey limits, and not extended to the entire town or other areas.

It amazes me that Scott can make a statement like that and think that no one is paying attention to the previous posts!!"

And yet Bob, strangely enough, we have yet another example of a misrepresentation of what I've posted.

And here I thought when my kids grew up my days of dealing with petulence would be over......

From: Dr. Williams
13-Apr-15
Glen, DEEP includes the Jan season in the previous season's take. It is not by calendar year.

Redding Hunter take 2013-- 92, 40, 0, 9 (archery (which includes 2014 Jan season), gun, landowner, muzzle) = 141

Redding Hunter take 2014 116, 37, 0, 3 (archery (which includes 2015 Jan season), gun, landowner, muzzle) = 156

From: Dr. Williams
13-Apr-15
Mike. For your sampling statement to be correct, you are assuming an equal distribution of animals in our sample areas? (I ask again) What I and others in the field assume is that the random sample distributions are equal to that of the population distribution, therefore, would be applicable to the entire town. What proof do you have to counter my argument? What proof do you have that townwide distribution is not the same as the sample distributions? Because you have no proof, we assume that the sample distributions are representative of the larger population and simply do repeated samples called replicates. But I know this will fall on deaf ears, though statistically sound, because our vetted methods are not giving you guys the answers you seek, single digit deer densities in Fairfield County.

From: Mike in CT
13-Apr-15
A couple of points Scott; first, you do not ask again, you obfuscate again. Your question does not echo any thesis I have ever posited. For future reference, if you want to insert words into someone else's mouth at least have the courtesy to ensure that you insert reasonably accurate ones.

Second, you may want to grab the nearest dictionary and look up the word "assume".

Let me know when you stumble across The Journal of Scientific Assumptions or Annual Scientific Assumptions to validate your positions.

Lastly, please pass along my congratulations to your peers (if indeed you accurately sum up their methods) for the incredible demonstration of applying the same wrong methods to achieve the same wrong answer.

FYI-you are demonstrating reproducibility here, not accuracy. (You may want to bring a lunch to the library.)

If you keep this up I will be sending you a bill for tutorial services rendered.

From: Toonces
13-Apr-15
Doc, with regard to my still unanswered question about how the DEEP determines that the public wants more dead deer you said

"DEEP is responding to the public’s call for reduction in deer densities statewide. Why else would they institute a 4.5 month season with unlimited take in densely populated areas of the state? Again, it is the democratic process. And now we are seeking additional opportunity for take on Sundays, because hunters cannot achieve publically acceptable deer densities in 119 days of hunting, they need the additional 19 days to get that accomplished."

So basically your backward logic is - The DEEP does it, therefore the public wants it done. Nonsense.

What Democratic process are you referring to? The DEEP is not an elected body, its a bureacracy. Changes to game regulations such as bag limits, baiting, seasons, etc are not subject to popular vote or other representative approval process. It is an administrative function, not a democratic one.

On the other hand, changes to the CT statutes that would increase deer kills are subject to the democratic process and have consistently failed in that process - thinking specifically of Sunday Hunting. If the public is demanding more deer be killed why has Sunday hunting consistently been defeated? Our legislative process is far from perfect, but it is our best attempt at representing the will the people. The DEEP makes no such attempt, that you have been able to recite here.

For what its worth, the vast majority of CT may indeed want more deer dead, I don't know, but it seems the DEEP doesn't know either.

From: bigbuckbob
13-Apr-15
Toonces

love your point about the "Public wanting more dead deer and yet the Sunday bill is shot down year after year." Seems pretty clear what the public wants!!

I read all of the articles I can find about hunting in CT, or about the deer herd in general and I have seen just 2 clear sides to the issues.

Hunters - want Sunday hunting. Friends of Animal (and the like) - want to outlaw hunting all together.

I have NEVER, repeat NEVER seen an article from a landowner (public) asking the state to have someone come to their house to kill the deer that are eating their shrubs. If the good doctor has one, please post it for all of us to read so that we too may become enlightened.

I find comments like this to be totally out in left field.

From: Dr. Williams
13-Apr-15
Mike. The stats and assumptions of our collective (CAES/DEEP) sampling methodology are sound and justified which is precisely why they do not result in single digit estimates in Fairfield County. I can't believe we are still debating this. You guys cannot actually believe this. . . I have to assume you are continuing this ruse to keep outsiders from hunting "your" deer. And the more times you post this on hunting website, the more valid it becomes? Right?

Toonces. DEEP is not an elected body, true. But it is part of the executive branch of the CT government. And true, switching from a bag limit of 2 to 4 is an administrative/ legislative function, but ask yourself what is driving that change? The democratic process. If the public want fewer deer, they advocate for an extended season January season or Sunday hunting. To suggest that DEEP makes the changes and then surveys public opinion is just plain incorrect. Why do we have 4.5 months of deer hunting on the shore and FF county and unlimited tags? What is driving that? Why is everyone on this site encouraging people to contact their legislators about Sunday hunting? Ummmm, democratic process?????

From: Toonces
13-Apr-15
Doc,

Bag limits and seasons, baiting, crossbows, etc, are only a administrative function. Don't confuse the issue by including /legislative. The legislative function is distinct from a bureaucratic administrative rule making/regulatory function.

What we are both talking about is the majority public, that as you correctly point is is not an animal rights nut, and also doesn't hunt. What do these people want is the question.

How are the majority of these people "advocating" to the DEEP that they want more dead deer?

I don't know how many different ways I can ask and you not answer.

It is not an answer to say that DEEP is making these changes because the public wants it. How does the DEEP know this is what the public wants?

The DEEP are not elected officials, they are bureaucrats. They don't answer to the voters in the same direct way that legislators do, yet you claim that there policies are purely driving by public opinion.

I don't have an agenda here. Like I said, It is very possible that the public does want more dead deer, although the consistent failure of any democratic process backed by the DEEP to make that happen seems to indicate otherwise. I am actually suprised you can't quickly and easily point to real metrics and process that the DEEP uses to determine what the public wants.

From: Mike in CT
13-Apr-15
Scott,

Another clarification; we're not debating, you're obfuscating; I'm still waiting for you to actually debate; you know, with a citation or two of substance, not perpetual regurgitations of assumptions.

Speaking of assumptions you really need to learn to not compound your losses. I am not hording deer in FF County; like Bob, I much prefer the big woods challneges in the NW Corner of the state.

I love the last two lines in your opening paragraph by the way; somewhere out there is a psychiatrist who could retire diving into your tendency to project. Given the times you've tried to spin the same fable I got a good chuckle out of "the more times you post".....ad infinitum, ad naseum.

Secondly, I'm shocked; shocked I tell you, that you'd equate deer as belonging to me or anyone else here given the number of times you've proclaimed them to be owned by "the public" and how you've inferred we hunters aren't the public and can keep our opinions on deer and tags to ourselves.

You remember "the public" right Scott? That ever-elusive, quasi-phantasmic entity that is out there clamoring for deer to be killed. "The public" that poor Toonces is growing ever-closer to retirement age as he waits for you to identify it, or at least tell him what sampling methodology was used to define it.

Oh, a bit of a history lesson Scott; it was the lobbying efforts of the former UBC (United Bowhunters of CT) that led to both the advent of the early bow season (Sept 15th instead of Oct 1st) and the tag number increase. I guess the UBC didn't have the pipeline to "the public" like you do.

The UBC (along with the CAC and Bob Crook) also lobbied long (and successfully, obviously) for January bowhunting in Zones 11 and 12.

Maybe it's time for you to bring back Odo; sparring with you is getting to be about as challenging as shaking down a 1st grader for their milk money.

From: Dr. Williams
13-Apr-15
Toonces. The public speaks to DEEP through their legistators. The legislators are elected officials and as far as I know, CT is still a democratic state. So if legislators do not deliver through DEEP, they are voted out. Why do you think the reps down there are so active with hunters and tick diseases? Because that's what the majority of the public want in FF County. This has empowered the hunters, but the attention has gone to their heads.

Mike. Why do you think the United Bowhunters attempt was successful? Tradition? I think not. Your pompous attitude will lead to the demise of hunting in CT due to a false sense of entitlement. These advances were only successful because they were in line with public desires, you know, promises of reduced deer vehicle collisions, reduced tick-borne diseases, landscape damage, etc. The very causes you guys cannot deliver and are now rallying against. Clearly, you guys are not politicians.

From: Bloodtrail
13-Apr-15
Scott, your last line keeps coming up..."The very causes you guys cannot deliver". I already stated that bow hunters are becoming too efficient. Better technology, increased range, better accuracy. Heck, I got a friend into bowhunting last fall....he had never shot a bow in his life and I had him shooting 4" groups at 20 yards after 10 mins. of practice. It's much easier to kill deer now with the technology and information that can assist a hunter to be successful.

We, the hunters, also known to be the "Public", have delivered. The deer herd has been cut in half since the initiation of the Jan. season, baiting and unlimited doe tags. Now, many of us on this site are seeing what can happen if the system stays the course for the future of our deer herd.

All many of us are asking for is to have the state take a deeper look into managing the herd better so the strong decline in numbers doesn't continue like the trend is showing currently. Some of us here can manage the deer on our own.....but it's the other 15,000 plus bowhunters in the state of CT that see four tags or six tags or unlimited doe tags that think, "I can shoot what the state allows".

So we would like a redesigned tagging system that allows for some deer to be taken, but also reinvigorates the health and longevity of our sport.

From: Dr. Williams
13-Apr-15
Phew Bloodtrail. Great save. Mike was just about to tell us how I am wrong about the democratic process and he was about to challenge me on the basic principles and fundamentals of wildlife management and ownership.

I agree that archers have become more efficient largely due to technology, but if firearms with their extended range cannot achieve the densities that the public desire, there is no way archery can. In residential areas where firearms use is restricted, there are too many non-hunted refugia for negatively conditioned deer to retreat to for archery to be effective. I applaud you for coaching your friend to shoot those groups into a target, but how many deer did he take?

Again, for as long as there is an average of over 20 deer/sm, you will not see any decrease in tag allotment. CT archers have been spoiled with outrageous deer densities that still exist today. Yes densities have been reduced, but from a high of astronomical, unsustainable densities. I'd suggest archers get used to modern-day conditions because DEEP ain't changing it anytime soon. Again, goes with what I have been saying all along. Hunters can adapt, or continue to complain about DEEP to no avail.

From: Mike in CT
13-Apr-15

Mike in CT's Link
What "us" Scott? Most here have correctly concluded that you spend half your time talking out of both sides of your mouth and the other half avoiding direct answers when they won't favor your position.

If it's any consolation, you are right about there being a democratic process; even a blind squirrel can stumble upon a nut in the forest.....

Kyle,

Link attached for your benefit (and for the other fully conscious readers)...

From testimony last month (yes, March 24, 2015) you'll see Susan Whalen of the CT DEEP testifying to there being an "estimated" 120,000 deer in CT. This isn't denial any longer; it's delusion. Keep preaching the self-policing doctrine because if we leave deer management up to the DEEP we'll all be taking up croquet soon.

From: bigbuckbob
14-Apr-15
Most of what happens in govenment has nothing to do with the democratic process. If you think it does then you're living in a dream world. Politicians have their own agendas. Some, like Malloy, are seeking national recognition for future opportunities at the VP or Presidential run, and could care less if the people of CT want Sunday hunting, the bus way to no where, Obama care, or higher taxes.

If Scott is saying it's our reps that demanding more deer killed then provide the names of the reps that have asked for this. I asked my rep if he would vote for the bill and he said he would the support the bill for the SPORTSMEN of CT, and it made sense to eliminate an old blue law in the state. He never said the people of his district are demanding more deer be killed.

The Sunday bill is not intended to kill more deer as Scott states, but is geared around allowing property owners the right to hunt on Sunday if they wish,...they still have the same number tags, therefore more deer will NOT be killed.

Same holds true for the 4.5 month archery season in CT. The length of the season has absolutely nothing to do with the bag limit, and I would have thought that Dr Williams could figure that one out on his own, but I suppose some people miss the obvious. And who sets the bag limits for that 4.5 month season,... the DEEP.

By the way Dr Williams - your statement that the DEEP will not change the bag limits as long as there are 20 dpsm,....how many deer psm are in the NW corner? The last time I asked the DEEP they weren't sure, but they were concerned enough to do be doing fawn mortality studies. Why aren't the bag limits reduced there?

From: Dr. Williams
14-Apr-15
Mike, "us" are Bowsite members who have still managed to stomach this thread. And it is you who is delusional to think there are single digit deer densities anywhere in CT aside from downtown Hartford, Bridgeport, New Haven, Torrington, and New Britain. Your continued verbose posts here to that end are so very Yossarianesque. To that point, you have the Deputy Commissioner advocating for Sunday hunting and you are opposed to that? I'm so confused. . .

From: bigbuckbob
14-Apr-15
So hunting on Sunday will provide extra tags and therefore increase the deer kill????

Your confusion is so typical. Carry on.

From: airrow
14-Apr-15
" The CAES stated there were 45+ dpsm in the Pheasant Ridge test area 1/16/15. White Buffalo and the CAES had until 3/31/15, 59 days to take another 14 deer or ask the DEEP for an increase in take in order to make the ITM test site goal of 10-12 deer. White Buffalo and the CAES pursued neither or these two options. "

I'm still waiting to hear an explanation as to why the CAES and White Buffalo didn't try and take any additional deer in the last 59 days of the ITM study; to make their goal 10-12 dpsm ? With this study running hundreds of thousands of dollars you would think the CAES would have be a good explanation.

From: bigbuckbob
14-Apr-15
I think they felt sorry for the guys hunting the area so they left a couple for them to shoot. Right?

You'll never get an answer, he's avoiding the common sense questions and is acting very "Yossarianesque". Now I'm really impressed!

From: Toonces
14-Apr-15
Doc,

Thanks for finally making an attempt at answering my question. Not sure why it took so long.

So the DEEP is basing its belief that public wants fewer deer on feedback they are getting from state legislators in Fairfield County. Interesting you previously stated somewhere that the public wants more deer killed statewide. You have now changed it up a bit to limit that assessment of public opinion to Fairfield County only.

I think that is probably a fairer assessment.

From: Mike in CT
14-Apr-15
Toonces & Bob,

Perhaps some of your confusion would be eased if you considered that the source of "Yossarianesque" comes from the classic Joseph Heller novel, "Catch-22", a work of fiction. Perhaps this was unintentionally ironic, yet so apropos, as much of what Scott has posted would easily qualify as a work of fiction.

Well, at least he didn't label me "Proteusesque" (from the classic Kurt Vonnegut novel "Player Piano"), a much better read in my opinion.....

From: bigbuckbob
14-Apr-15
Yeah, I'm familar with the book Catch 22 and who Yossarian is, just don't understand why some people have to use what my dad would call "ten dollar words",..... I'm not impressed; and then he would laugh at them.

From: Mike in CT
14-Apr-15
Bob,

The DEEP has been aware that there are areas in the NW corner (especially areas you and I are familiar with; Norfolk, Colebrook, East Hartland, Hartland, Barkhamstead and New Hartford in particular) that have been at or below 10dpsm for more than a few years now.

While it's a good step to do a fawn mortality study the obvious question is why no adjustment in tags?

Sound management should have dictated that step been taken at least 2-3 years ago if not longer.

From: Dr. Williams
14-Apr-15
Glen. Now I am super confused. You are now questioning why White Buffalo was not out there killing more deer to achieve the goal of 10-12 deer/square mile? First you want the deer left alone and “Don’t Blame The Deer” mentality but now your argument has shifted to why wasn't WB killing more deer? Again, what is it that hunters want because the message is not clear and is constantly shifting whichever way the wind blows. Is it “Where Are All The Deer?” or is it government spending or what?

Toonces. Agreed. Fairfield County and Shoreline is where this situation is most polarized, as seen by the 4.5 month hunting season and limitless tags. And still, densities in residential areas are not where the public wants them. Hence, the Sunday hunting proposal on private properties where deer are deemed “overpopulated” by DEEP. Right?

Mike. Where did you get your density figure for NW CT? Out of thin air? Or did you extrapolate from the private Newtown and Redding flights? Based on your previous posts, I am sure that you have surveyed the entire towns of Norfolk, Colebrook, East Hartland, Hartland, Barkhamsted, and New Hartford because as you stated previously numerous times, deer are not evenly distributed across the landscape and density cannot be confused with population and the only way to determine the population is to survey the entire town(s), right? I swear I've heard that somewhere before. . . And I know you practice what you preach, right? That is if you practice at all, 'cause we all know you like to preach. . .

Bob, for $10 words, look no further than your compadre Mike. He's on Thesaurus version 19.3 and shift F7 no longer works in Word. Is his vocabulary impressing you?

Yossarian thought himself sane and everyone else crazy. Kind of like this ongoing deer density debate. . . Single digits. . . seriously. . .

From: Mike in CT
14-Apr-15
" there are three survey techniques whose results are very close to one another and one that stands out on its own, and conveniently, that is the one you stubbornly stand by.",

January 10, 2015 VAR survey White Birch-11 deer (raw count)

Jan 15, 2015 DAR survey White Birch-44 deer, 1 possible (raw count)

March 3, 2015 CAES aerial survey White Birch-9 deer (raw count)

Yup, one definitely stands out on it's lonesome and danged if someone isn't "stubbornly standing by that one."

I'd become a spin-ninja too if I had to play that hand.....

From: Wild Bill
14-Apr-15
"There's water on red planet, but not as we know it." - Drudge Report 2015

From: Dr. Williams
14-Apr-15
So spin master, how did you get that 10 deer/sm estimate across those 6 NW towns without sampling them?

Yes, there will be anomalies in replicates, but that is why we base averages on repeated samples (plus I thought I was reporting bogus numbers). Let look at mean replicate values and see which stands out instead of cherry picking replicates that suit your argument.

Davis Aviation 2015 raw average = 29/sm

CAES 2015 raw average = 29/sm

Vision Air 2015 raw average = 7.5/sm

From: Mike in CT
14-Apr-15
I didn't; the estimates were provided by the DEEP in 2010 after a conversation I had with then State Senator Andrew Roraback (ranking minority member on the Environment Committee). Colebrook/Norfolk was actally reported to be in the 3-7 dpsm range.

I believe it was the following year in a conversation with Andrew LaBonte the subject came up again while discussing increased sightings of black bear; I intimated, and he seemed to agree that it was possible the growing bear population was impacting fawn recruitment. I don't find it coincidental that shortly thereafter the fawn recruitment study was undertaken.

I see you forgot the conversation about demonstrating reproducibility does not necessarily demonstrate accuracy. If there were 45 dpsm at Pheasant Ridge I don't think harvesting another 14 deer would have been anything other than a walk at the beach for a proficient sharpshooting organization like WB.

Of course, you can't shoot what isn't there can you?

From: Dr. Williams
14-Apr-15
Wait wait wait just a second. Now I know Andy works for DEEP Wildife Division and is half of the aerial deer survey team for DEEP. I also know that Andrew Roraback is a state legislator from that area and I would assume he is quoting DEEP estimates. So I ask you now, why are the DEEP estimates quoted as gospel by both you and Roraback (and BBB) okay for management purposes in NW CT, but those produced by the same people within the same agency so easily dismissed in SW CT? The estimates are made by the same people in both regions, so what gives? Why are DEEP estimates okay in some places but require third party privately funded "confirmation" in other places? Again, I'm confused. . .

From: bigbuckbob
15-Apr-15
Dr Williams

once again you avoid answering direct questions. Why didn't WB kill more deer since your survey showed there far too many deer STILL in the kill zones?

As for the NW corner, I also had a few conversations with Kilpatrick and Labonte. Labonte agreed that there is a definite problem with the herd in the NW corner and thus the fawm mortality study. It only makes sense that the DEEP is concerned since they are spending the money and time to do the study.

Answer the question please - why didn't WB kll more deer? Waiting to hear the rest of the story.

From: Dr. Williams
15-Apr-15
Why do you and Glen care the reason they didn't take more deer. Aren't you happy they didn't? Why are DEEP deer estimates perfectly acceptable in the NW corner, but not in SW? I'll tell you why. There are fewer deer in NW CT and there is a lot more "big woods", state forest, and only a fraction of the land is locked up in private ownership. Though in conversations I've had with DEEP biologists they say the private residential areas up there are crawling with deer. In SW CT, there are oodles of deer as we have shown time and again, they are just on majority private lands, which we have also shown. But I guess it's easier to blame DEEP survey techniques, even though it doesn't make sense.

From: bigbuckbob
15-Apr-15
Don't answer the question, deflect, side-step, or you just don't want to get caught in yet another half truth/lie. Why didn't they take more deer??

I suppose now you're going to say that WB didn't take more deer because Glen and others who hunt the area didn't want more deer killed and you listened to the public. ;)

I never said I agreed or disagreed with the count in the NW corner. In fact, Kilpatrick said there were plenty of deer, and Labonte had a different take, so yet again the DEEP has no idea, but the study tells me they're concerned.

I said the herd was way below carrying capacity and way below what it was years ago. The hunting experience is not something that will interest the young and new hunters, it's just too hard to find deer unless you have someone to SHOW where they are.

I don't hear the public in the NW corner sreaming about their shurbs or lyme disease, so why not limit the take to the carrying capacity and improve the hunt.

Your answer is????????????????????

From: Bloodtrail
15-Apr-15
Scott, thanks for all the great conversations. It makes for interesting reading.

I see you keep going back to private land being "locked up or inaccessible" to hunting....but I have to digress. In my personal experience, I have found evidence of poachers/trespassers on most every piece of private land I have had access to. It's hard to find a piece of property that doesn't have a treestand/groundblind, baiting, evidence of someone being there.

Has anyone else seen this as well? Just adding to the thread.

From: airrow
15-Apr-15
" The CAES stated there were 45+ dpsm in the Pheasant Ridge test area 1/16/15. White Buffalo and the CAES had until 3/31/15, 59 days to take another 14 deer or ask the DEEP for an increase in take in order to make the ITM test site goal of 10-12 deer. White Buffalo and the CAES pursued neither or these two options. "

I'm still waiting to hear an explanation as to why the CAES and White Buffalo didn't try and take any additional deer in the last 59 days of the ITM study; to make their goal 10-12 dpsm ? With this study running hundreds of thousands of dollars you would think the CAES would have be a good explanation.

Scott; Please answer the question.........With your CAES Pheasant Ridge survey showing 45 dpsm in 2015; why didn`t WB take more deer to get to the ITM study`s 10-12 dpsm ?

From: bigbuckbob
15-Apr-15
Blood

I have zero experience in the SW section of CT, but I can tell you that I have called the DEP several times over the years, as well as the caretaker for Great Mountain Forest and MDC to report people hunting illegally.

One year there were 2 DEP trucks at the access point to Houstonic and they were looking for some guys from MA that were poaching (sorry guys, their words, not mine) in the area. This is the same area that I complained about several times where people were huntingn out of bounds.

I have turned in guys for everything from cutting trees on private property to killing over the bag limit, some of them co-workers who were bragging about breaking the law.

The few landowners I've spoken with have mentioned that they had problems with someone shooting close to the house or crossing their property with a gun in hand, so they weren't thrilled about granting permission. I always tell them that if I see anyone I will report them to help with the problem.

From: Bloodtrail
15-Apr-15
Scott, did you order the Code Red?

From: bleydon
15-Apr-15
I am probably in the minority of people who enjoy the back and forth here and quite frankly don't have a solid opinion on the issue yet but one thing stood out reading through this -

The Redding hunter take in 2013-14 was 141 and in 2014-15 was 156.

Is that stat correct? If so, what is the explanation from the camp that says Redding deer have practically been wiped out?

From: airrow
15-Apr-15
" Is that stat correct? If so, what is the explanation from the camp that says Redding deer have practically been wiped out? "

2013 Redding harvest was - 156 deer

2014 Redding harvest was - 130 deer

The Redding deer population is down approximately 75% over the last 6 years....it is not " wiped out " it is at approximate 7.5 dpsm.

From: Dr. Williams
15-Apr-15
Just confirmed with Andy at DEEP my numbers for hunter take are correct for Redding.

2013-Jan 2014 - 92 archery, 40 gun, 0 landowner, 9 muzzle = 141

2014-Jan 2015 - 116 archery, 37 gun, 0 landowner, 3 muzzle = 156

Glen can't explain it because it is counter to his argument, so he adds the 15 crop damage deer into the 2013 number and does not include Jan 2015 archery or crop damage in 2014. That way, the numbers work for his argument. And the single digit density, I can't believe he is sticking to that.

From: bigbuckbob
15-Apr-15
Point for Dr Williams.

From: Toonces
15-Apr-15
I still don't get the whole the more deer we kill, the more deer that are alive rationale.

From a wildlife management perspective that seems to mean, we are killing more deer therefore we are not killing enough deer, or we are killing less deer therefore we are killing too many deer.

From: Dr. Williams
15-Apr-15
Right Toonces. Harvest trends are not indicative of abundance, but you can be pretty sure if harvest is high there are lots of deer. This is more about showing Glen's ability to make the numbers work in his favor, regardless if they are documented or not.

From: airrow
15-Apr-15
Both the statements by Glen and Scott are correct; " the way they are written " ..... Glen listed " harvest " by year....Scott listed " hunter take " leaving out " crop damage for 2013 and added January Archery to 2014.

And yes Scott I am sticking to my numbers; as long as you are tap dancing; maybe you can now tell us why WB did not take the additional deer in Pheasant Ridge this year to get to 10-12 dpsm ?

From: bigbuckbob
15-Apr-15
I'm still waiting for that answer as well.

WB got paid big bucks (my big bucks) to do a job, and it appears to me they had the opportunity to take more deer (since there are soooooooooo many) and failed to honor that part of the contract, for no other reason than they didn't want to????

Answers please! I gave you a point, so let's play fair.

From: bigbuckbob
15-Apr-15
Dr Williams

I'm going to have to rescind the point I gave you. Did a little research of my own. Redding kill figures below are from the DEEP Deer Harvest Reports, no report on the internet for 2014 season (wonder why?)

2010 310 2011 275 2012 241 2013 156 2014 no report????

Based upon these numbers I would give several point to the Redding hunters who stated the herd is below the 12-15, 40-45 dpsm (pick a number, doesn't matter) figures. Half the kill in 2013 vs 2010, just 3 years and the kill dropped 50% WITHOUT WB in place. Who do you explain this?

If you going to say it's because all of the deer in Redding ran to Mr Jones back yard because he doesn't hunt then wouldn't that have occured YEARS ago when people starting hunting in Redding, and not just recently?

From: Dr. Williams
15-Apr-15
Bob, the 2014 numbers were derived by Glen from a FOIA request to DEEP. I posted an image of those numbers on this thread on April 13th. Down boy.

Glen, no, your statement/numbers are not correct, purely self serving, and you are not comparing apples to apples. Let's break this down to show how you derived your numbers to suit your argument.

Glen's 2013 numbers are hard to dispute because they are published in the 2013 deer program summary. Glen's figure of 156 for 2013 came from:

92 archery (which includes January 2014 as confirmed by Andy LaBonte)

40 shotgun/rifle

0 landowner

9 muzzleloader

15 crop damage

156 total

Now he is comparing that to his 2014 number in which he only includes these from his DEEP FOIA which I included higher up in this thread:

90 archery, in calendar year 2014 (but excluding January 2014 take)

37 shotgun/rifle

3 muzzleloader

0 landowner

130 total

Why is January 2015 archery take or 2014 crop damage not included here like they are for the 2013 numbers?

In my expert opinion, if we are comparing between years, and January 2014 harvest is rolled into 2013 number, it only makes sense to me for comparison purposes that the 26 deer taken in 2015 January should be rolled into the 2014 numbers. And as Glen stated earlier in the thread "The CT DEEP has not listed crop kill for Redding, CT 2014" so he assumes that is a 0, but still includes the 15 reported in 2013. But even Glen himself did not say that that was a 0 for 2014, just that it hadn't been listed yet.

So Glen, if we want to be consistent in counting harvest between years, let's include the same method/month of take in each year so we can properly compare, and that is what I provided, with the proper documentation. And I realize it goes counter to your argument, but those are the numbers.

And Bob, I'll take my point back now.

From: bigbuckbob
15-Apr-15
Doc,

maybe you'll get the point, but until the DEEP publish the numbers for 2014 so that they are also "hard to dispute" in your words I won't rely on either sides reporting. I find them both to be self serving.

I wish you would address the point I made that the harvest numbers in Redding have dropped every year that was reported since 2010 by 50%, a pretty DRAMATIC decrease since WB was not in place, wouldn't you agree???

From: Mike in CT
15-Apr-15
Scott,

Your confusion is easily remedied; in the NW corner when the physical evidence confirms the DEEP estimates there is nothing to dispute. One of the benefits of having lived and hunted up here since 1989 is first-hand evidence.

Additionally, at the time I reached out to Senator Roraback I didn't have any information on deer densitites; that came as a result of my call and as it lined up with the physical evidence it seemed to put the matter to rest.

Why the different view of SW CT? Well for starters the same people may be performing aerial surveys in Zone 11 but there hasn't been an aerial survey in Litchfield County since at least 2008 (if then) as statewide aerial surveys were discontinued in 2009.

Recognizing that there may be a different methodology in place from 2010 onward you examine that methodology in comparison to the same physical observations and apply the same yardstick; the survey results correlate with your observations or they do not. When it's the latter you question why. When that fundamental question leads you to conclude that a valid method is being misapplied then the questions remain until addressed.

I won't speak for Glen but can conclude that for him that resolution drove a privately-funded FLIR survey. It seems apparent to him that those results match up with his physical observations and he has drawn his conclusion. I happen to think he's right.

I think someone with intimate knowledge of a town and the resident deer herd is in the perfect position to assess what the on-the-ground reality is, not someone who only surveys 6% of an area, regardless of their qualifications or however well-intended they might be.

At the risk of joining the broken-record crowd the relevant question on the table would seem to remain, if Pheasant Ridge truly had 45 dpsm how is it possible that with 2 months of unimpeded access a sharpshooting organization with the resume of WB was unable to harvest an additional 14 deer? Or 1 for that matter?

Given their track record that outcome seems a lot more consistent with a much lower deer density than the one that has been argued for.

It keeps coming back to "what does the physical evidence tell me?"

It tells me you can't shoot what isn't there.

From: Dr. Williams
15-Apr-15
So I guess a personal communication with a DEEP biologist is not good enough proof coming from me, but Glen can use the same numbers and add apples and oranges and divide by a pineapple and that's cool. Can I at least get an IOU for the point you gave me here and then took away for when the very numbers I posted here go to print and Glen's fantasy math is proven wrong?

I don't think you mean Redding harvest has decreased annually by 50% since 2010 cause that would mean 2014 harvest would have been like 16 deer (hunters took 258 deer in 2010. 50% of that is 129, half that 64.5, half that 37.25, half that 16.125.) Hunter harvest in 2014 was down 40% from 2010. Yes. Is that "DRAMATIC"? Not really. Is it evidence of a marginally successful town-wide deer management program? Yes.

From: airrow
16-Apr-15
Bob; I can`t get and answer from Scott so maybe you or Mike can tell me why ? ........The CAES stated there are 45 deer in Pheasant Ridge, 2015;.....Tell us why WB did not take the additional 14 deer they were authorized to take in Pheasant Ridge this year to get to 10-12 dpsm ?

The answer should be worth my two apples, one pineapple and I will even throw in a mango !

From: Dr. Williams
16-Apr-15
See Glen, as an ethical scientist, I let the data speak for themselves; the data are the data. Then I use the grey matter between my ears to interpret those data. See, what I don't do is manipulate numbers to suit my argument. You guys have accused me of that ad nauseam, but I'd like you to show me where I have ever done so.

Why do you so desperately want to know the reason we stopped sharpshooting? I mean one minute you are crying into your coffee at the transfer station whooping the boys into a frenzy about the poor deer and how we must stop WB. And now you are hounding me here about why we only took 11 deer in 2015. Which is it? Why do you care the reason we stopped? Are you just bummed you weren't able to break in your new body armor and try out your new night vision, you know, to "keep an eye on White Buffalo?"

From: bigbuckbob
16-Apr-15
Dr Williams

the DEEP report shows 310 deer killed in TOTAL for 2010, so I have no idea why you're subtracting the deer kills by cars? Isn't that a HUGE part of the justification for bringing in WB?? That and lyme disease? You have to live and die by the numbers doc.

Now - why didn't WB kill more deer if there are 45 dpsm?? Answer please!

From: bigbuckbob
16-Apr-15
Dr Williams

refusing to answer a simply question shows your true colors and intent on this site. You're not here to educate and be part of the hunting community, you're here to defend and advance an agenda; one that includes your good friend Tony (WB) and the money to be made shooting deer.

The 3 year study will not solve the deer/tick/lyme/car strike/shrub problems in Redding or anywhere else since, as your friend Tony stated - This is not a one and done process, it's like cutting the grass, you need to do it every few years to maintain the herd at acceptable levels."

Since I don't hunt SW CT my only reason for trying to learn what was happening there was to understand possible future plans for the rest of the state. I pray your plans don't spread to my hunting grounds.

I think this was a total waste of taxpayer money! (MY Federal money) I wonder if the people in Redding were told that WB would NOT correct their problems with deer, that they would have come up with more money every few years if they expected the deer/lyme'car/etc problems to be reduced.

Instead of educating the general public about lyme disease and checking yourself for ticks, you embark on a study that can NOT provide a solution to the problem, since reducing deer in one - three years will not eliminate all ticks. In fact, killing all the deer will not eliminate all ticks, and you only need one to give you lyme disease.

So at best you can say that less deer equals less lyme disease immediately after the last deer is killed in the 3 year study. But in year 4 and on, the town is right back to where they started, with more car strikes, lyme disease, eaten shrubs, etc, etc. and our money is gone.

From: bigbuckbob
16-Apr-15
Check out Dr Williams new post about Westport - the disease is spreading.

From: bigbuckbob
16-Apr-15
The silence if deafening!! Where's the answer Doc?

From: Dr. Williams
16-Apr-15
What part of my statement comparing Redding 2010 to 2014 is not true? I'm not sure I follow. I thought we were talking harvested deer, not road and crop kill. . .

From: bigbuckbob
16-Apr-15
The method used to kill the deer in Redding is not important, it the TOTAL number of deer killed that would indicate if there are more or less deer in a given area, so road kill is an important part of the whole. And as you stated early on in this converstaion, car strikes was one of the reasons for bringing in WB.

Why did WB not kill more deer? Still waiting.

From: Dr. Williams
16-Apr-15
Do you really want to know Bob? You weren't satisfied with Mike's suggestion of trying to kill deer that are not there?

From: bigbuckbob
16-Apr-15
No, I don't want to know, I just like hearing myself type over and over and over "Please answer the question."

Here's how I see it. You can refuse to answer, then those of us reading these threads will realize you have something to hide and any credibility you had will be lost. Or, you can answer it honestly, and even if it doesn't support your case, at least we'll know that you're willing to present all the facts, not just those that work in your favor and more credibility will be given to your other statements.

You decide.

From: Dr. Williams
16-Apr-15
Haha. Bob you make me laugh.

Now get ready, here it comes, I'm gonna answer the question. Ready?? Are you sure? Wait a second, I already answered it previously, but here is goes again. Ready??????? Are you sure? Wait for it. . .

From: Dr. Williams
16-Apr-15
On our first day of baiting in February, we had Sanford tailing us and videoing us going site to site and calling my superiors apparently to inform them that I was doing my job. That kind of gave me a hint of what we were in for and I didn’t want to expose WB staff to that again. Frankly, given the antics that transpired in 2014, I was afraid someone might get hurt, or worse. And after all, they are only deer and there are plenty of them, so I called WB off as they were plenty busy with other projects.

This falls right in line with a section of the Northeast Section of the Wildlife Society’s Position Statement on the Management of Chronically Overabundant Deer I am coordinating: “Deer management action in developed communities must begin with the most basic question, “Is there a problem?” If a community cannot agree on whether a problem exists, there should be no expectation of agreement on management action.”

From: bigbuckbob
16-Apr-15
I rest my case.

Now I'm ready to have an honest and adult conversation with my 6 yr old grandson.

From: Toonces
16-Apr-15
Doc,

If you made the choice to call off WB, then any impact of that choice on your study is your fault, not the fault of the public, agree?

In other words you can't now claim that the hunters or neighbors undermined your efforts or the study in some way.

I am clearly not a scientist, but let me ask you this. Can the tick study be seen as a beta test of some kind not only about the raw numbers but about public opinion and reaction? In other words should both the positive and negative feedback your getting and the impact of that feedback on the deer culling portion of your study, part and impact both negatively and positively on the study legitimate factors from a scientific point of view?

I would venture to guess that the social impact of this study would be similar wherever elsewhere if deer culling is utilized as a means for tick control, so will the social reactions you have gotten be considered with the measurement of other data.

Should the social reaction be treated with the same detached neutral scientific method as the raw data when determining whether or not deer culling is a path forward toward lyme disease reduction?

I think the social impact/reaction should be considered in the same scientific way as the other data, but I don't know if it is part of the normal scientific method in these kind of studies.

From: Bloodtrail
16-Apr-15
"You're g0ddamn right I ordered the Code Red!"

From: Dr. Williams
16-Apr-15
Is that not the answer you, Glen, and Mike were hoping for?

From: bigbuckbob
16-Apr-15
Toonces

If you do a little research on WB you'll find they have met with much worse opposition in some states than what they felt in CT. There have been demonstrations, marches, video tapes made of wounded deer, people offering $1000 to the landowners to rescind participation with WB, and they still are able to go from state to state telling their tale of "Kill the Deer to Save the Children!". I'll wager that CAES and the DEEP could care less what social impact this has had in the state.

Dr Williams

you make yourself the fool when you say you're a scientist but refuse to provide a simple answer to a simple question. Any true scientist (Doctor) would argue the facts, and not let emotion get in the way, but it seems you would rather promote your agenda by refusing to share facts that would hurt your case. What other conclusion could one come to?

From: Bloodtrail
16-Apr-15
- You want answers?

- I want the truth!

- You can't handle the truth!

From: Toonces
16-Apr-15
I understand that BBB, I was just curious how that kind of reaction plays into the science of the study, if at all.

For example, I am sure the study takes into account naturally occuring factors that can impact results. I am just making this up, but weather could be factor, foliage, flooding, temperature, other animals, etc.

Since this study doesn't take place in a closed laboratory, but in a social setting, I wonder if the human element is treated say the same as weather, and if not, why not.

Doc seems to be fighting the human as a possible detriment to the study, I am wondering why that is? Maybe the human element shouldn't be fought but should be treated neutrally and factored in the same way as other variables.

If Doc has someone following him around and calling his superiors as a result of the study, or blogging, or lobbying against it or vice versa, as a scientist don't fight the social reaction, just factor it in like any other naturally occurring variable the study has to take into account.

Maybe science doesn't work that way, I don't know.

From: bigbuckbob
16-Apr-15
Toonces

got it, didn't quite understand the point, now it's clear.

I have to say that Doc uses the social impact as an excuse for not meeting the deer kill quota that they set out. He stated several times that because other bait piles were set up by hunters it caused deer to be pulled out of the test sites. Although he also said that HIS baits would NOT pull deer from other areas into the test sites, that deer don't move out of their home range, so not sure how you factor in both criteria??

From: Toonces
16-Apr-15
Yeah that is my point. The human element in my opinion isn't an excuse one way or the other, its just another factor.

You wouldn't use rain as an excuse or view it negatively, it is just another variable that has to be taken into account.

I guess I see this as much a social study as it is a biological study given the context and location. If the study was being done 100 miles from the nearest person, then it would be different. This is a neighborhood study. The reactions and actions of people should be part of it.

From: Toonces
16-Apr-15
Yeah that is my point. The human element in my opinion isn't an excuse one way or the other, its just another factor.

You wouldn't use rain as an excuse or view it negatively, it is just another variable that has to be taken into account.

I guess I see this as much a social study as it is a biological study given the context and location. If the study was being done 100 miles from the nearest person, then it would be different. This is a neighborhood study. The reactions and actions of people should be part of it.

From: Mike in CT
16-Apr-15
Well, perhaps it's appropriate that what was begun under disingenous circumstances ends in a similar fashion:

For the benefit of our readers some clarifications; you were not being “trailed”; Scot Sanford encountered you in one location while completing plowing jobs; his daughter was with him on this occasion and can corroborate this account.

The other gentlemen you encountered was Mr. John Tucker who was also in the area and who pulled into a neighboring driveway to let you pass due to the narrow road; Interestingly Mr. Tucker made mention of knowing you from the DEEP meeting at Putnam Park and according to him you denied your identity.

I'll post direct comments from Scot Sanford now to add a bit more context:

"Mr Williams, with all due respect I would not waste my time following you around Redding or interacting with you in any way shape or form. You are not a celebrity and are of no importance to me!

I was checking driveways in the area I plow and yes, that yellow thing on the front of the pickup is a snow plow. Stop blaming everyone else and stick to the truth that there are not the deer in Redding you have been saying there are. You and your buddies at White Buffalo are not needed or welcome in this town."

Scot Sanford

I guess what we have been offered is the adult version of "my dog ate my homework".

It doesn't hold water in light of the additional information listed above and even absent that would strain credibility. That answer could have been posted weeks ago and there is no rational explanation for why it was witheld until now.

Toonces,

In any experiment every effort is made to identify all potential variables and account for them. The effects or impacts of some may be known at the onset, the effects or impacts of some though may not be known and capable of being quantified until after the fact.

As WB has encountered resistance in the past and by all accounts, much worse, it would be hard to make the case that this impact could not have been either expected or factored in.

In a nutshell neither an explanation or an answer was given, just a rather lame excuse.

From: Dr. Williams
16-Apr-15
Toonces, I am a scientist and see the world that way. And you are exactly correct that this became an experiment in sociology over time. After my initial anger over the negative impacts it was having on the scientific outcome of the study, I was able to relax a little more, when I realized we were not going to get there. It was clear after last year and the direct interference and harassment we and our subcontractors and collaborators in Redding received, that we were not going to reach our target goals. So I agree pretty much with everything you just wrote, except the first two lines. The damage had been done in 2014 by hunters directly. Two days afield by WB in March 2015 in transit to another project was not going to get us there. So no, hunters did in fact undermine our efforts.

So remember that pie chart in the link about public ownership of wildlife I posted? If not, it showed 5% of Americans hunt, 16% are anti-hunters, and 79% kind of don't have an opinion. So in the case of Redding, what % of those 79% of undecided people did hunters just piss off and turn into anti-hunters? "I don't care about the hunters, I don't want my kids to get sick" is what we hear in Redding time and time again when conversing with homeowners. Now if the CT wildlife are owned and managed by the CT public, don't you think hunters would want to work for those 79% of people and help reduce diseases in their kids? Isn't that a better tactic than pissing them off and advocating for more deer on the landscape to kill when there are already plenty?

Bloodtrail, you took the words right out of my mouth.

Bob. The way all you guys were hounding me for the answer why we didn't kill more deer was a) ridiculous given the "don't kill the deer" song and dance of old and b) the answer was not very exciting, (except for Glen who forwarded it along to others who he thinks are bad ass.). And I said that bait sites wouldn't draw deer many miles from across town. Remember? And then you went off about deer moving 13 miles in NW CT? Remember? Your selective memory of documented conversations seems to frequently favor your own arguments.

From: Dr. Williams
16-Apr-15
Mike. I am sorry that Scot feels like I "made him look like a lunatic" in my post as he told some one in my office today. But I feel that I should tell the story of that day, because I was there, and have a credible witness, my technician Mike. We encountered Mr. Tucker on the road and actually it was I who backed our truck into a drive to allow him to pass. He made no mention of the Putnam Park meeting. When he passed he rolled down his window and said "I know you, you are the guy that follows the White Buffalo around." To which I chided "What?! There's a white buffalo around here? Where?" And I moved my head and looked all around. Then he said "Don't bullsh** me boy." And then he asked about our aerial surveys and predators we may have seen from the air. I told him what we saw, where we were with the project, etc. Then 5 minutes later we were pulling out of a house, and we saw a blue F150 with a plow (yup, it was big and yellow) go by with 2 passengers and the driver was giving us the hairy eyeball and was on the phone. So we left that house and drove to our next house a couple miles away and there was the same truck, trying to be subtle, and pretending to plow someone else's driveway. Then he drove by our parked truck once, twice, and then three times. I had no clue who he was, but checked Bowsite and not 10 minutes later was there a post from Glen talking about how many bags of corn were in the back of our truck, blah, blah, blah. Then I got back to the office and heard Sanford had called and was saying he was video taping us while we were baiting. If Mr. Sanford does not want to appear like a "lunatic" perhaps he should stop engaging in creepy behavior and then calling my superiors and telling them all about it!! You can corroborate the events of that day with both Mr. Tucker and Sanford because that is precisely how it went down.

Lying about deer density. . . Are we back there again? What do I possibly have to gain in doing that? Hell, Larry and I provided you guys maps where they are! If the deer aren't there and I'm lying, how did Siburn count 45 deer/sm at Sunset Ridge/Huntington SP? He must be in on it too.

From: bigbuckbob
16-Apr-15
Dr Williams,

the FACT of the deer moving 13 miles was from the DEEP study in the NW corner using radio collars, so I have no idea what your point is other than the DEEP doesn't know what they're talking about. You stated your bait piles wouldn't pull deer from miles away and I pointed out the study where deer do in fact move more than a few hundred yard from their home range, so stick to one story. Do they move or not?? You're the one trying to change the facts to suit your story, not me.

It took all this time to think up the EXCUSE that someone driving in truck screwed up WB from killing more deer???? Are F--king kidding me!! Your answer shows your udder contempt for the intelligence of your audience.

And the question had nothing to do with "Don't kill the deer"!!! It was intended to uncover why WB couldn't kill more deer! And by the way, nothing you say is exciting, so don't flatter yourself.

And stop the I'm scientist crap, it carries no weight when you can't answer a simple question honestly. I think you should go find out if Pluto is a planet or if the next ice age coming with your other "scientists" buddies.

From: Mike in CT
16-Apr-15
Bob,

You've covered things pretty well but I wanted to weigh in with a few observations:

1. Regarding the selective use of facts to suit your needs; when the issue of baiting on the periphery of study areas was brought up to Scott it was just as quickly pooh-poohed by him; flash-forward to the discussions of why WB couldn't kill more deer and what was one point of cover Scott offered up? You guessed it-competing bait sites.

Therein lies the rub; either bait will pull in deer when the CAES places it and it will likewise pull deer in to competing sites OR neither site will pull in deer. The effect should always be the same; Scott is trying to have it both ways; his baiting did not draw in deer from outside the study areas but "interfering hunters" competing bait sites drew deer out of the study areas.

Hypocrisy serves as poor mortar for the foundation of any argument.

2. The false dilemna; hunters don't want deer killed, but hunters are angry that WB didn't kill more deer. The first half is obviously true, the second is a false dilemna and self-serving tripe.

The two are not related to each other in any way; to attempt to link them together in this way is a transparently disingenous attempt to recast an argument in a manner that Scott thinks he can win. Hunters can maintain their position against deer killing and ask a legitimate question as to why WB failed to fulfill the terms of their contract.

As Yoda would say "the hypocrisy is strong with this one."

When you can't frame an argument honestly Scott it doesn't benefit anyone, least of all you. If you feel victimized you should; by self-inflicted wounds.

From: Dr. Williams
16-Apr-15
I'm sorry Bob. You've gone off the deep end. I can't respond to crazy.

From: steve
17-Apr-15
Bloodtrail good movie ! LOL

From: Dr. Williams
17-Apr-15
Mike. Regarding #2, scroll up and count how many times Glen and Bob ask me why WB didn't kill more deer. How is that a "false dilemma?" How is that "self-serving?" It's ridiculous coming from both of them particularly Glen as It is a total flip-flop from his "don't blame the deer" campaign.

What do hunters want? Do they even know anymore? Or do they just react?

From: bigbuckbob
17-Apr-15
It doesn't matter if I've gone off the deep end doc because you don't provide answers anyway so nothing changes.

YES - I asked several times why WB didn't kill the deer that CAES said had to be killed to save the children in Redding, but as Mike pointed out it doesn't mean I want them killed, it means I want to know why they weren't killed. Is that concept too difficult to wrap your scientific mind around. Wow, got to explain everything 5 times for you to understand things.

I suggest you go back to counting ticks because you're really startng to bug me. :)

From: bigbuckbob
17-Apr-15
BTW - what hunters want is for you to go away. Thanks for asking.

Just kidding!!! I actually like having you on the site, you're funny. I haven't been this entertained since my grandson was trying to explain where babies came from. The only difference is he made more sense and answered every question we asked him. I'm not sure we laughed any harder at his explanations than I have with yours so please stay around.

Are you going to start any new projects because this thread is getting a bit old and boring. I'd love to hear what other projects the CAES is attacking next in the exciting world of the bug "SCIENTISTS". Maybe you could tell us all about the Emerald Ash Borer and the impact it has on the ash trees in CT?

Still don't why WB couldn't find more keer to kill.

From: Dr. Williams
17-Apr-15
Bob. If you want to converse, let's do so. Or if you are sick of me, take your own advice you've given others and don't read the threads I am on. Now you flew off the handle about the deer moving the 13 miles and if you go back and read my post, you will note that I was not disputing that, rather, providing additional information about baiting that you omitted.

Again. I said that I had said previously that bait is not going to pull a deer from across Town and used the deer moving 13 miles to jog your memory about that same conversation we had had previously. Obviously bait piles congregate deer, but seldom, if ever, do they pull deer the incredible distances you are talking about was my point. And I think that that was obvious to most everybody else reading this thread because it was perfectly clear.

From: Dr. Williams
17-Apr-15
Bob I am happy to stay here. I'll just ask that you try and keep up with the conversation before flying off the handle.

From: Mike in CT
17-Apr-15
Scott,

You either missed the point about #2 or don't want to concede it's validity; either way the false dilemna you present is that hunter's don't know what they want because the two points seem contradictory.

The first half is they (and you can use Glen as the example of "they") don't want deer killed when the herd (in their opinion) is collapsing.

To question why deer weren't killed doesn't contradict that point if it is posited as a counter to the claim of 45 dpsm. It is a totally separate position; basically it is asking, "OK, if you are correct then it should not have been a problem to take an additional 14 deer."

The secondary (and separate) issue boils down to "why do the facts (failure to take even a single deer) contradict your position on the number available?" The request for this to be explained is not tied to the first position of not wanting deer killed.

By trying to tie them together (create a false dilemna) it allows you to avoid answering the second half; whether this is merely perception and not reality, it is not an unfair assessment to make of your trying to cast them (the hunters) as being at crossed purposes.

To that end, the attempted linkage is self-serving; it makes the hunters appear as if they don't know what they want and it allows you to avoid the question.

From: bigbuckbob
17-Apr-15
Dr Williams

If I want to converse?? You're the one refusing to answer a simple question and trying to deflect the conversation by changing topics or making a joke about it. And keeping up with what conversation? You don't say anything, so nothing to keep up with.

Mike - I don't think he understands that the 8 word question "why WB failed to take more deer" has nothing to do with whether or not hunters want the deer killed. Maybe he forgot that he told us that WB was going to kill the deer, and since they didn't we're all very confused?

I know! It must have been when the guys in the truck looked at him, that's why WB didn't kill the deer. Or maybe it was someone doing the same thing he was doing, putting bait piles out for the deer. I bet that never happened to WB before, so that had to make ALL of the deer in the entire town, even those 13 miles away, go to the other bait pile and not WB's. Damn, I hate when that happens. Or maybe it was the deer they didn't see in the FLIR survey, those were the deer that came to the bait pile and WB couldn't see them then either? This is so complicated.

I remember how in the beginning of this tale Dr Williams was telling all of the hunters how efficient WB was and how they could kill deer with a single shot to the head, and how they would bring the numbers down to the 12 dpsm (or whatever number) that is perfect to eliminate ticks, and how hunters could never do that - ever, and how this would make the public(?) in Redding so happy. But they didn't do it, did they? So now a new tale begins. This is like the Harry Potter movie series!! How exciting. "The Tale of the Missing Deer".

From: Toonces
17-Apr-15
Doc,

Where you and I differ is I don't see a the study as a failure if you don't reach your target goals.

Putting aside the dualing FLIR's for a moment and assuming your numbers are correct, you had a goal to get the study area at or under X deer per square mile.

The fact that you couldn't do it due to social headwinds is not a failure, it's a significant worthwhile result. A conclusion that given the parameters you had to work with, you got more than expected social pushback so that not being able to achieve your goal Deer per square mile is a solid finding. Your study shows that perhaps deer reduction in a suburban setting to levels that lower tick borne diseases is not possible. There is nothing wrong with that result and certainly no reason to cast negative blame on anyone for causing that result.

If you step back and look at the bigger picture, there is a lot to be learned from this study. Again, maybe not what you hoped, but you shouldn't let your own biases toward the outcome you hoped for, color your evaluation of the outcome you achieved.

From: Toonces
17-Apr-15
Doc,

Where you and I differ is I don't see a the study as a failure if you don't reach your target goals.

Putting aside the dualing FLIR's for a moment and assuming your numbers are correct, you had a goal to get the study area at or under X deer per square mile.

The fact that you couldn't do it due to social headwinds is not a failure, it's a significant worthwhile result. A conclusion that given the parameters you had to work with, you got more than expected social pushback so that achieving your goal Deer per square mile is a solid finding. Your study shows that perhaps deer reduction in a suburban setting to levels that lower tick borne diseases is not possible. There is nothing wrong with that result and certainly no reason to cast negative blame on anyone for causing that result.

If you step back and look at the bigger picture, there is a lot to be learned from this study. Again, maybe not what you hoped, but you shouldn't let your own biases toward the outcome you hoped for, color your evaluation of the outcome you achieved.

From: bigbuckbob
17-Apr-15
Toonces

but you're leaving out one critical piece of DATA from the conversation. WB has gotten stiffer social headwinds in other states than in CT, and CAES knew this in advance of hiring WB since Tony and Scott are good friends. This was no surprise, this was business as usual for WB. So to say it was still a success is not true.

Dr Williams educated all of us early on how WB could do what hunters couldn't, knowing full well that there would people fighting their efforts and not just hunters, but friends of animal groups and the like. So only NOW, after the failure to meet the goal do they bring this issue to the fore front to use a defense. High powered rifles, bait piles, night vision, shooting at night and they still couldn't get the job done. REFUND please.

From: Toonces
17-Apr-15
I don't know about the prior issues WB got pushback. Were they specific to tick study in a suburban environment.

If WB got pushback when deer culling just for general population reduction purposes, I see that as different than a tick study.

No need for a refund in my opinion. This is a scientific and social study. Failure to reach a goal is a normal an acceptable outcome in scientific study. I just hope the failure isn't dismissed and ignored, we paid for that failure and we should learn from it. We should learn to not try the same thing again and expect different results. The social headwinds aren't likely to change on this.

From: bigbuckbob
17-Apr-15
The tick, it was more comment tongue in cheek Dr Williams stated several times that WB would reduce the deer herd where hunters couldn't that was my point

From: Dr. Williams
17-Apr-15
Toonces. You are exactly right. WB often gets push back while working in municipalities but has more options when not restricted to two 1 mile squared areas. In this case too you are correct, it was merely a study and I think guys didn't understand or want to understand it was only a temporary thing. And you also correct that deer densities cannot be lowered enough to affect tick densities in a restidential area. But we still do not know the answer to the question we were seeking, if they are reduced to 10-12/sm in an inland setting, what impact will that have?

But The main reason that deer densities could not be lowered enough was hunters advocating to keep deer densities high by any means possible. That to me seems like a selfish situation that could result in backlash from the non-hunting public, that might turn those on the fence against hunting. What really pissed me off through this whole thing were the lies, deceit, and false accusations about me, the study, and our subcontractors. That pissed a lot of other influential people off too and gave local hunters a really bad reputation. And if you think I'm sugar coating what happened when talking at conferences, with colleagues, and other biologists, I'm not. I'm telling it like it is. Hopefully the next generation of hunters will understand better how to keep hunting in the good graces of the public.

From: Toonces
17-Apr-15
Doc,

Where you and I differ is none of this should have "pissed you off". It's all just social data. As a scientist you shouldn't take it personally.

The feedback your getting, true or untrue, justified or not, is all part of the study in my opinion. Don't make any moral judgements about it anymore than you would make moral judgements about field mice carrying ticks.

If your complaining about what happened or "blaming" hunters for an outcome or disrupting the study when discussing this with your colleagues or the public, your viewing this study all wrong in my opinion. This isn't about blame.

From: CTCrow
17-Apr-15
"if they are reduced to 10-12/sm in an inland setting, what impact will that have?"

I hope you never find out.

Can you just find a place that only has 10-12 DPSM?

I think down town stamford has about 12-14.

From: Mike in CT
17-Apr-15
Scott,

Again you seek to set up false equivalencies; hunters were never arguing for astronomically high deer densitites, they were arguing against drastic reductions in deer densities.

Once again you adopt the all-or-nothing approach and fail to see that there was (and still is) a very realistic middle ground.

What's selfish is one side or the other seeking to impose their paradigm to the exclusion of any other. If any hunter ever posted they would be against deer densities under 30-40 dpsm you'd have a valid point; the fact of the matter is no one here ever did.

Equally valid is the point of view that is consistent what Dr. DeNicola testified to during the Newtown deer hearings; that in inland settings anything less than 20-25 dpsm is simply unobtainable. Given that this has been public knowledge promoting a deer density of 10-12 in a similar (inland) setting was at best setting up a false hope and at worst a disingenous campaign. Neither option served the public interest.

Given the vast volume of literature that showed favorable outcomes in terms of Lyme disease incidence reduction that did not involve deer culls if any side can be painted as "selfish" it would be those advocating for deer culls to the levels (dpsm) targeted in the face of this evidence.

What I suspect you are taking personally and are "pissed off" about is that some people thought for themselves, refused to follow the herd and saw through the deception.

With regard to "influential people"; for the moment I'll rank that comment right up there with the nebulous "the public" that wants all deer killed; absent clarification it becomes a moot point. Until you provide some context it's a non sequitur that warrants no consideration whatsover.

As far as your peers, with all due respect I've seen more than my share of scientific snobbery when someone's sacred ox gets gored. Whenever you show a blatant disregard for valid concerns it shouldn't surprise you that animus is fostered. Again, a more open and up-front approach from day one could have abetted some, if not all of this.

Lastly, while you are perfectly entitled to you opinion on the future role of hunting your continued need to foist your new paradigm on everyone as the be-all, end-all is both self-serving and tiresome.

Hunting's demise will not come because one and all did not rush out to embrace the hunt behind every swingset sect; it will come about when denial of our ties to nature becomes the norm, something you seem hell-bent on not just fostering, but speeding up.

Forgive me for not embracing that brave new world.

From: onepin
17-Apr-15
Cant we all just get along :)

From: Dr. Williams
17-Apr-15

Dr. Williams's embedded Photo
Dr. Williams's embedded Photo
Toonces. This is a scientific experiment about tick control and disease risk and public health, but the deer component turned into one of a more social nature which was unanticipated. Most guys have lost sight of the fact that it is not a deer study. Perhaps I shouldn't have taken some of the antics so personally, but it's hard not to take it personally when stuff like this is being posted online, falsely accusing me of a felony charge. If that's not grounds for a libel suit I'm not sure what is.

From: Dr. Williams
17-Apr-15

Dr. Williams's embedded Photo
Dr. Williams's embedded Photo
And here is another more juvenile post by another familiar character.

From: Dr. Williams
17-Apr-15
Mike. It is guys like you and Glen, fighting against "the man" that are going to torpedo hunting for the rest of us as it is the very same "man" that has to listen to all the non-hunting members and make management decisions based on what the majority of the public wants. You don't have to embrace it, but you are heading down the wrong path. But fortunately with your verbosity and nasty attitude, i don't think there are many following you down that path. I am not sure why you are fighting me on this public ownership of wildlife, perhaps you are not familiar with it. But I would encourage you to read up on it and/or talk to state biologists because they will tell you the exact same thing that I am. As far as "influential people", tomorrow I am going to attend the 3-day Northeast Association of Fish and Wildlife Agencies Annual Conference in Newport, RI. There I will also attend the Executive Committee meeting of the Northeast Section of The Wildlife Society for which I am the Treasurer. Do you think there will be any influential people there? Hmmmmm. Yup, probably. You missed my talk at last year's conference in Portland, ME. It was titled "Can Coordinated Recreational Hunting Reduce Tick Abundances? Exploring the Deer Density Divide Between a Municipality and its Hunters." Can you guess who it featured? The guys from North Woods Law loved it!

This stuff may be your hobby, but lest you forget, it's my profession.

From: steve
17-Apr-15
I am so tired of the crap ! There is way less deer than ther used to be some people want every one dead ,and with all the deer dead you will still have Lyme ! Use your brains guys .

From: Mike in CT
17-Apr-15
Scott,

I'm touched by your concern about how I'm perceived on this forum, truly I am (sarcasm off).

I'm trying to wrap my head around what, in your mind, constitutes a "nasty attitude".

Perhaps it may have been when I correctly noted that you sent out a letter misreprenting the ITM study by referencing studies conducted in insular settings and then failing to disclose that those results were only achieved in an insular setting.

Perhaps it was when I correctly pointed out that the aerial transect method was never intended to be used as a true census tool.

Perhaps it was when I correctly noted that you were trying to have it both ways regarding the effect of baiting.

Perhaps it was when I correctly pointed out that you were attempting to create a false dilemna for the hunters who've opposed you by insisting that those hunters couldn't be concerned about deer eradication yet legitimately question why study goals weren't being met.

Perhaps it was when I correctly noted successful methodologies for lowering Lyme disease incidence that do not involve killing deer.

Or perhaps it was when I correctly pointed out your nonsensical comment about hunters wanting high deer densities for exactly what it was; a strawman argument when not one poster here has ever made that claim.

No, you needn't trouble yourself about how I'm perceived around here. You see Scott, I've been posting here since 1998 and not only have I gotten acquainted with many of the regulars, I've met a good many and known a good many for years.

Those people know I don't pick fights and I don't take one up without good cause.

They also know I've posted under my name from day one; I didn't slink in through the back door and post under an assumed name.

Glass houses......stones......

From: Bloodtrail
17-Apr-15
Steve x2

From: Dr. Williams
17-Apr-15
Mike. You sure are sure/full of yourself from behind that keyboard with no practice and only preaching. I think you should stick to pharmaceuticals. Let those of us who understand wildlife mangement/ownership manage and research said wildlife. And perhaps you'd get more work accomplished if you would stop gazing at that reflection of yourself in that pool. . .

From: bigbuckbob
18-Apr-15
Mike

Well said and correct on every point.

From: Mike in CT
18-Apr-15
Scott,

I can assure you my resolve is every bit as steadfast in person as it is "behind that keyboard."

Perhaps you'd like the opportunity to test that statement?

From: Bloodtrail
18-Apr-15
Mike "Money" Mayweather vs Manny Pacquiao Williams

Lol

From: bigbuckbob
18-Apr-15
Mike

And he says you're full of yourself? Coming from the great, and all mighty powerful OZ scientist who understand wildlife management and research. His arm must be pretty long to pat himself on the back. Isn't he also the same guy who had to hide behind an alias because he was too frightened to play with us under his real name,...talk about a keyboard bully.

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