Dems lose, in order of my confidence, IN, MO, FL, and ND.
That's a net gain of four seats currently held by the Dems.
Dems may very well also lose:
Yes! Maryland! (Menedez is a sleezeball and is within the margin or error in all recent polls.)
Tester is a poor fit for MT and his opponent is nipping at his heels.
GOP, OTOH, may lose perhaps one of the following:
(I'm no Heller fan, but he'll be far better than his Dem opponent.) Heller leads by a thin margin in the latest polling.
(Marsha Blackburn currently trails by a small amount, but I'm having trouble believing Tennessee would send a Dem to the Senate.)
Net result: GOP picks up 3-4 seats.
If we see a 2016-like electorate, it could be a 5-6 seat net win!
In WV, I think Manchin is safe. If I had to pick any of the current Dem Senators who I'd prefer to win if a GOP win was not likely, it would be Manchin. He may be a Dem, but he may be the only sitting Dem Senator who's not a bat-$h!t Crazy leftist
Are the leftists so unhappy that they will flock to the polls? Will the media convince people that they are unhappy and get them to flock to the polls?
Will conservatives heed the danger and show up in big numbers?
Pre-election popularity of the candidates will be far less important than who shows up to vote.
But for me, Independents, moderate Dems, and Trump supporters may well be even more motivated than the Dems.
If so, we can thank the msm, Hollyweird, and the hateful, rioting a-holes at Antifa for that!
Kyle - I think we have Trump to thank more than any of the morally challenged on your list. We (conservatives) have been asking for someone who would fight the left openly for many years.
When the primaries began, The Donald was 16th on my list, just ahead of Bush. I've eaten a lot of crow since then, but am proud I ultimately voted for him. We asked for a fighter and got one. I believe he has revived our spirit in ways the EGOP said weren't proper etiquette.
While the likes of McConnell, Boehner, McCain, Graham, etc were playing footsies with the libs, collectively we were losing interest. Trump saw it, understood how to inspire the team from his business life and gave a rousing halftime speech. Now it's on us once again to play hard to keep the ground we've gained.
Trump was close to last on my list in the primaries as well, but he won and I've been more than pleasantly surprised with what he's done since.
I also believe that a lot of reluctant trump voters (me for example) who only voted against hilary are now supporters.
The Dem incumbent (Bob Casey) for the past 12 years is all but non existent. Has no bills to his name and has been riding Daddy's coattails his whole life. Claims to be a moderate but is just another useful idiot for Schumer. I'll bet few if any of my fellow Bowsiter's ever heard of him.
As a former 10 year resident of PA, I am well aware of Casey. He is truly a product of the machine and further proof that the electorate will rarely look past talking points. I knew people who voted for him because he claimed to be a moderate, pro-life candidate who really wanted to help the average worker. But, he's proven to be a morally bankrupt PLINO, pro-life in name only, who is a reliable, leftist vote with a 100% rating from NARAL. He doesn't even need to be given anything for his soulless support of the far left agenda - he simply rubber stamps whatever he's told to.
Hope she loses big
Long time democrats are beginning to see that the promises of the Clintons, Obama's and other lefty's were hollow and this area was left behind. Trump's message is resonating!!!
While I could not attend the even,t a coworker and early childhood friend went and said it was "electrifying". People were stoked. Filled the venue with 10K + in attendance and thousands outside who were turned away at the door.
Hopefully this is a good kick start for Barletta's Campaign. He lacks name recognition in western PA, but Casey is a dud and doubt that many event know who he is.