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GOP Upset?
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Contributors to this thread:
NvaGvUp 05-Nov-18
Coyote 65 05-Nov-18
Bogie 06-Nov-18
HDE 06-Nov-18
elkmtngear 06-Nov-18
gflight 06-Nov-18
NvaGvUp 06-Nov-18
gadan 06-Nov-18
JTV 06-Nov-18
HedgeHunter 06-Nov-18
Your fav poster 06-Nov-18
elkmtngear 06-Nov-18
TD 06-Nov-18
Brotsky 06-Nov-18
NvaGvUp 06-Nov-18
JL 06-Nov-18
bigswivle 06-Nov-18
Bentstick81 06-Nov-18
Mint 06-Nov-18
JTV 06-Nov-18
Bentstick81 06-Nov-18
slade 06-Nov-18
Bentstick81 06-Nov-18
JTV 06-Nov-18
Bowfreak 06-Nov-18
Bowfreak 06-Nov-18
JTV 06-Nov-18
Amoebus 07-Nov-18
Grey Ghost 07-Nov-18
JTV 07-Nov-18
NvaGvUp 07-Nov-18
Solo 07-Nov-18
From: NvaGvUp
05-Nov-18
Via Townhall:

"Vegas Oddsmaker Predicts GOP Upset Wayne Allyn Root | Posted: Nov 05, 2018

The opinions expressed by columnists are their own and do not represent the views of Townhall.com.

This is my final column before the midterm election. So, this former Vegas oddsmaker turned national political commentator has a few predictions and common sense observations to make.

Back in 2016 I predicted a Trump victory when no one else did. Every poll showed Trump would lose by a wide margin. Nate Silver of the NY Times predicted Hillary’s chances of winning at 92%. These pollsters make their living by polling actual human beings. I don’t. So how did I know?

Simple. First, size matters. You could see it in the rallies. Trump would attract eight hour lines and 10,000 or more attendees at wild, intense rallies all over America. I should know. I was opening speaker for six Trump campaign events here in Las Vegas.

Meanwhile Hillary was attracting 100 to 200 attendees at a rally here in Vegas. I could fit Hillary’s rallies in my living room. The same story held true across America. That was my first reason for realizing Trump was going to pull a huge upset that few saw coming.

Part Duex was also simple. Trump was “the whisper candidate.” Everywhere I went, people whispered in my ear, “I’m with you. I’m for Trump.” They wouldn’t tell pollsters.

They wouldn't put up yard signs. No bumper stickers on their car. No mention of their support of Trump around the office watercooler. But they whispered to me. The pollsters never had a chance.

Don’t look now, but it’s all happening again. Nate Silver says Democrats have a 80%+ chance of winning the House. Cook Report says Democrats will win the House by 40 seats. All the experts say it’s over- Democrats will win. I'll go out on a limb and disagree again.

I see Florida Democrat Governor candidate Andrew Gillum holding a rally with Bernie Sanders and the whole place is empty.

Barack Obama could not fill a high school gym in Milwaukee.

I witnessed firsthand Joe Biden and Obama at separate events here in Las Vegas playing to small crowds.

Meanwhile I was opening speaker for President Trump’s event in Las Vegas last month- with 10,000 waiting in line for hours in a place where no one cares much about politics.

This is a phenomenon.

Does that sound like the GOP is losing 40 seats? Dream on delusional Democrats.

Then there’s “the whispers.” Nothing has changed. Trump has fulfilled almost all of his campaign promises. He is the only politician in history who did exactly what he promised. And those same voters are whispering to me again- they love Trump now, more than ever.

Then there’s common sense. The Trump economy is BOOMING. The latest results are out- 250,000 more jobs last month, far above what was expected.

The lowest unemployment in half a century. The number of Americans employed is the highest EVER. Almost 500,000 new manufacturing jobs under Trump. The kind Obama claimed would never happen again. 1000 new manufacturing jobs a day last month- the best results since the 1990's.

And most importantly, wages grew by a remarkable 3.1%- the most in a decade. Who in their right mind would vote against THAT?

That could be why Trump’s approval rating among blacks is now 40%. If only white liberals weren’t blind, deaf and really dumb.

Most importantly, Trump has brilliantly kept the emotional issue of illegal immigration front and center. He wants to block the caravan, end birthright citizenship and make it much harder for illegal aliens to claim asylum. The polls are out- 65% of likely voters in swing districts across the USA agree with Trump. The middle class will come out in record numbers for Trump. Bet on it.

In the 2014 midterm election in Texas 1.7 million voted early. This year early voting in Texas numbered over 4.3 million. With a booming economy and an illegal alien invasion in the headlines, you think they’re coming out for Democrats?

No way Jose.

I'll go out on a limb again. I'll put my gut instincts up against every poll and pollster and political "expert." All of them...all of them...say the House is lost. But they don't have a clue what's happening. I predict they're all wrong again. The Silent Majority is whispering again- and they love Trump. They support Trump. They will reward Trump.

I'll go out on a limb again to predict another upset for the GOP on Tuesday. We will expand our Senate majority by 3 to 6 seats. It will be very close but, the GOP will hold the House. America stays bright red- again

Democrats will be in shock and mourning. The pollsters got it all wrong again.

And Wednesday morning will be the busiest day for psychiatrists and psychologists in the history of America."

From: Coyote 65
05-Nov-18
hope he is right.

Terry

From: Bogie
06-Nov-18
Praying hard for the Red Wave. God's Will be done, I place my Hope in HIM.

From: HDE
06-Nov-18
^^^ most do, but some think it's just mumbo jumbo...

From: elkmtngear
06-Nov-18
"And Wednesday morning will be the busiest day for psychiatrists and psychologists in the history of America."

^^^^^^^^ I love this line! Please Lord, let this become reality, and let the Red Wave swell!

From: gflight
06-Nov-18
Gallup says GOP keeps house?

From: NvaGvUp
06-Nov-18
Link?????

From: gadan
06-Nov-18
Oh, I hope so! I see much the same as this writer. The Dems will be up to their old tricks but hopefully, there will be plenty of counter votes to offset the dead and stollen votes. The MSM shouting about how this is a referendum on Trump will make a RED wave all that more enjoyable.

From: JTV
06-Nov-18

JTV's Link
watch the Ads the Dems/Left dosnt want you to see ... click on each link within the article .... WARNING : may trigger some soy boy Putzedians into retreating to their cry closets ..

http://www.conservativehq.com/node/29074

From: HedgeHunter
06-Nov-18
Trump world is not pollable. Folks wont own up to pulling the chain for DJT but they will in everyway!

Just to gain four more SenTe seats is Huuuuuge. A massive win in a off year election!

06-Nov-18
I hope and pray my prediction is wrong. If so, we all should recognize there is still hope for America.

I voted today, the only one on the ballot that has a national influence, Robin and I both voted for Kevin Yoder. I know this has not garnered much attention on the CF, but Kevin is a good guy and surprisingly behind in the polls to a very liberal challenger. If she wins, the house will probably go dem, IMO. The only thing good about her is she was a tough MMA fighter.

06-Nov-18
Women will define this election. Bank on it.

From: elkmtngear
06-Nov-18
More Women off food stamps since Obama left, and back in the workforce.

Yeah, I'll bank on that !

From: TD
06-Nov-18
Is that what the talk is in the Ladies Room???

From: Brotsky
06-Nov-18
LOL...women were supposed to define the last one as well and they did. #MAGA!

From: NvaGvUp
06-Nov-18
Polls close in a few states in less than three hours!

From: JL
06-Nov-18
I try not to get too wired up at this stage. If ya voted...you controlled what you could, what you can't control...ya roll with it.

From: bigswivle
06-Nov-18
Fixing to climb in the truck and head to my lease in Illinois. Hopefully Fox News is a good listen on the way. If we keep the house I’ll change to CNN for the tears

From: Bentstick81
06-Nov-18
Damn yfp. Don't hold your hand up to be picked. Just jump right in there and show us all your ignorance.

From: Mint
06-Nov-18
The Dems should by all accounts take the house with a win of at least 30 seats if history is any judge.

From: JTV
06-Nov-18
oh he will, and he does .... the soy boy is a useless dab of DNA ...

06-Nov-18
I know facts scare you as much as women, which could explain the blow up doll in your closet, but I digress.

according to exit polls

78 percent of women say it is important to elect more women and trumps rhetoric definitely affected their vote.

-- 67% want to keep abortion laws as is.

71% believe it's important to elect racial/ethnic minorities to Congress.

Women voters are going to explode these midterms.

From: Bentstick81
06-Nov-18
WRONG!!!

06-Nov-18
Mommy issues Jeffrey? or are you just angry at women too? Who hurt you?

From: slade
06-Nov-18

From: Bentstick81
06-Nov-18
Has nothing to do with mommy issues moron. You are just WRONG!!!

06-Nov-18

06-Nov-18

From: JTV
06-Nov-18

JTV's embedded Photo
JTV's embedded Photo

From: Bowfreak
06-Nov-18
538 gives Dems 39% chance to take House?

It's a confusing graphic but that's what drudge says too.

From: Bowfreak
06-Nov-18
Now it says 57%. Looks like they continue to move the goal posts. Lol!

From: JTV
06-Nov-18

JTV's Link
https://townhall.com/tipsheet/laurettabrown/2018/11/06/gallup-poll-that-hasnt-been-wrong-since-1946-says-gop-will-keep-house-n2535410

From: Amoebus
07-Nov-18
Has Mr. Root gone back to being a Vegas oddsmaker now?

From: Grey Ghost
07-Nov-18
I hope Root is better at odds-making than he is at predicting elections.

And that Gallup poll JTV posted....I guess all streaks come to an end at some point.

Matt

From: JTV
07-Nov-18
there will always be winners and losers... I guess in this case, it was America coming out on the short end ...

From: NvaGvUp
07-Nov-18
All-in-all, the GOP won yesterday.

Sure, we lost the House, but there was no Blue Wave.

More importantly, we gained seats in the Senate and except in Texas, matched, out-performed or seriously out-performed what was forecast.

No one thought we'd blow away Donnelly and McCaskill as we did.

Scott won despite being down a bit in the polls.

Tester won, but underperformed projections.

The real winner yesterday was Donald J Trump. Where he went to campaign in the last two weeks, the GOP out-performed across the board.

Just ask Andrew Gillum, who had a 4-5 point lead going into Election Day how those polls worked out for him.

From: Solo
07-Nov-18

Solo's embedded Photo
Solo's embedded Photo
I'm just glad we no longer have to watch Jerrold Nadler's HUGE jowls of yesteryear flopping all over the place anymore when he's speaking or threatening harm to those close by when turning his head... ;^)

He clearly worked his diet plan very well! Way to go, Jerrold.....

Be reeeal nice if he never speaks again, though. But FAT chance for that now.....hehe..

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