Contributors to this thread:
What I'll be watching for early tonight:
House: VA 7, FL 27
MD NJ, IN, TN, WV
State Houses: FL
Both House seats above are currently in GOP hands. David Brat faces a tough challenge for re-election . In Floriduh, the incumbent is retiring and Donna Shalala is the Dem candidate. She'd once been expected to win in a cakewalk, but the race is now neck and neck. If the Dems don't win both of these seats, a blue wave will not be happening. If they lose both, it's likely a signal of what we saw in 2016 and the GOP will likely hold the House.
Senate: In Floriduh, Scott and Nelson have been essentially tied for a long time. If Scott wins, DiSantos likely also wins his bid for the Statehouse and the rout will be on!
MD NJ, while Menendez is the likely winner, if he doesn't win by more than 5-6 points, the Dems' hopes for a sweeping victory across the country are OVER.
Later on, I'll be paying close attention to the Senate races in IN, TN, TX, MO, MT, ND, MI, AZ and NV. A new poll today shows Debbie Donuts has a lead of just three points!
I'll also be following the Statehouse races in WI, SD and NV
"In MD, while Menendez is the likely winner, if he doesn't win by more than 5-6 points, the Dems' hopes for a sweeping victory across the country are OVER."
I must be missing something. My wife and I just voted and there is no Menendez on the ballot in Maryland. I thought he was in NJ?
I just drove backroads from Fredericksburg to Scottsville this weekend on a Deer hunt, and saw a butt load of Abigail Spanburger signs, as compared to very few David Brat signs. This is in the middle of Virginia "flyover" country. Mostly Farms.
. . . .
I am just a tad concerned for VAs 7th District.
MO McCatkill must go I am not voting for Japheth Campbell but Hawley to get her out. Would have had her azz out years ago but for an idiot....
What I'll be watching for early tonight:
I'm expecting Scott & DeSantis to win in Florida.
I want to see the Dimm's lose their voice worse than Obama & Biden have lost their's...
AZ-Hoping for a Sen. McSally win however I fear this race will be extremely close. First results wont be available until 8pm local time so 10pm for the east coast.
Kyle I’ve had enough of the “floriduh” crap. Have a little respect for the good people here
Connor, take heart. You can call my state state Nevaduh if Heller loses and Vegas Chooses Sisolak as the Dem Governor. Our once proud and red state has been overwhelmed with the liberal filth immigrating from Kalifornia.
I will even call this state "Nevaduh" should it go completely blue.
Yep. I love Florida too, bigswivle. Lots of close family & good friends there that I miss....
Kyle I’ve had enough of the “floriduh” crap. Have a little respect for the good people here
Yeah, I saw that the first time.
No doubt FL is full of good people. But it's hard to forget that a few years back, we waited a month to find out who won the POTUS election because thousands of people there were too dumb to figure out how to make a hole in a piece of paper, ;^)
Yes, Florida is a great state with many great people. But it has been infiltrated by liberals. A socialist America hating joker like Gillum should not be able to be elected for any public office in any state. He is nothing more than a puppet of the big socialist machine financed by the likes of Steyer and Soros. And he is running this close to a hero like DeSantis? The number of ignorant idiots and blind dumb sheep are indeed obviously growing in Florida. Very sad.
I remember I was hunting mulies in Cody, Wy while they were looking for 'hanging chads'.
Just a tiny part of the vote in so far in IN (1.4%), but Braun leads Donnelly 61%-35%.
1.8% in in IN and Braun still leads 61%-35%, for whatever that's worth with so few votes counted.
2.8% in now and it's Braun 59%, Donnelly 37%
Can you put your Chris Berman voice on for the play by play?
5% in and it's 57.7% - 38.4%
Hell, I live there and dont care till its called ... ;0)
6.4% and Braun leads 59%-37%
9.6% in and it's Braun 58%-38%
Greg Pence, the older brother of Vice President Pence, has been elected to Indiana's 6th Congressional District, @ABC has projected
21.4% in and Braun leads 58%-38%
I talked to a half dozen people while waiting to vote... they all said Donnelly must go ... Donnelly is nothing but a Schumer vote waiting to happen ... I think Braun will take it ... we'll see
7:55 PM: OHIO SENATE: NBC Calls for Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH):
Indiana is doing our part, 9 House seats and Repub's lead in 7, the other two are entrenched Dems ..... Plus Braun will take out Donnelly ...
NBC News: Donna Shalala is the winner in FL-27. Dem pickup
57% in in VA 7 and Brat leads 50%-48%.
33% in in IN and Braun is now up 138,000+ votes, @ 56%-40%
80% in in FL and Scott leads Nelson by 60,000 votes.
74% in the Governor's race and DiSanto leads the socialist by 83,000 votes.
In GA, Kemp is crushing the gun grabber by 190,000 votes, but only 19% of the votes are in.
MI: John James has a 3% lead over Debbie Donuthin' Stabenaw at present.
Some of the ones I was really worried about are doing well in Florida. Scott has won by 1% in his previous races and it looks like he is true to form. The votes that aren't in yet I think are from the panhandle. That is pretty red. I'm not sure but I think it is the panhandle they don't have counted yet.
RCP just called it for Braun in Indiana ... NO MORE DONNELLY !! .... we held our 7 House seats (out of 9, the other two were entrenched Dems) and now picked up the Senate seat .... yea, baby !!
fivethirtyeight.com had Donnelly at 5 in 7 and Mike Braun at a 2 in 7 chance of winning. Polls were just a bit off....
Marsha Blackburn(R) beat Bredesen for Senate .... just "Shake it off" Taylor Swift !! ... "In your Wildest Dreams", I knew "Bad Blood" would become the "End Game", and that "Blank Space" between your ears, would mean "We were never ever getting back together".... ever !!
24.5% in in GA and Kemp is plus 265,000 votes over the Gun Grabber!
JTV Don't say suck on that Taylor swift. Use something else please
89.9% in in FL and Scott leads Nelson by 63,000 votes.
With 84% in, DiSantis is +84,000 votes!
In TN, Marsha Blackburn is pounding Phil Bredesen and has been declared the winner!
In MI, John James is up by 25,000 but only 12% of the votes are in.
93% in now in FL and Scott is +62,000 votes and DiSantis is +83,000!
FOX just called House to Dems.
Fox News has called that Democrats will take control of the House.
138 House seats have now been decided and the Dems have picked up just TWO seats!
In ND, Heitkamp is down 15% on Kramer with 19% of the votes in.
You are like K Rove who kept calling Romney after it was all over. Lol. Whatever you are watching, change it.
Back to Florida, where, with 94.5% of the vote in, Scott is up 76,000 on Nelson and DiSantis is +97,000 on Gillum!
Unfortunately, Fox News just projected the Libs will take control of the House...so you can take that to the bank.
Just 3.5% of the vote left to go in FL and both Scott and DiSantis have reasonable leads.
Looks like the socialists are going to take the house. Lets hope the senate stays red.
8:10PM first numbers in: McSally 49% Sinema 48% McSally is up by 6K votes. AZ Senate
Fox just called the race for Cruz in Texas Senate
Kansas governor went socialist.
In KS, the votes were mostly against Kobach than for Kelly.
Senate stays red, house goes socialist
"Democrat Strategist James Carville Admits: ‘It’s Not Going to be a Wave Election’ "
Hawley wins Missouri senate seat.
So frustrating that the Republican house leadership has fallen and now all forward momentum towards US further strength and success is going to come to a road blocking, foolish house investigating halt
One good thing, when RBG decides to step down, the senate should not have a problem with Trumps nominee.
picking up 4 Senate Seats ... that will be good for conservative judges .. everything else comes to a grinding halt ...... watch the stock market crumble tomorrow ..
“One good thing, when RBG decides to step down, the senate should not have a problem with Trumps nominee.”
Odds of her stepping down in the next two years are slim to none.
Odds of her kicking the bucket in the next two years... higher than slim to none.
From your lips to gods ears, idllewild. said it because no one else will.
Here Come The Crazies! Nancy Pelosi As Speaker, Maxine Waters, Adam Schiff, Elijah Cummings In Leadership Roles
What is up with Nevada, 4 hours after the polls close and no results?
HIP HIP HOORAY....for political stagnation!!
The less they can change, the less they can f**K up. I will sleep well tonight.
Lot of close races tonight, that's the scary part!
Most of the D's gains in the house are moderates and it looks like they'll end up somewhere around 123 seats, not a real strong majority. Trump has put the question of citizenship in the next census count. This will give us an accurate count for representation and redistricting. As it stands now a mathematical formula is used designed by LWL's who think all illegals deserve representation. This will take away solid blue house seats and put them with in reach of the red zone.
I sure hope the R's are talking to some of the moderate D's into changing parties.
I had predicted as many did that the elephant would gain 2-5 seats in the Senate and hold the House. I knew I was being overly positive about the House. If I could have just one as we have, I wouldn’t change a thing. I’ll take the Senate over the House. When I say “we”, I mean conservatives, not Republicans. Parasite Obama lost over 60 seats at his like midterm and Slick Willy nearly the same. There was no blue wave, and in 2 years the Republicans will take back the House and usher in President Trump’s 2nd term. Now we get to listen to the bat crap crazy leftists forget about America and go on the Trump attack. As Senator Graham said, it will implode on them. President Trump is a great deal maker and leader, he will handle these America hating leftists while working with the Senate to further the work for we the people.
On what planet does getting one arm chopped off considered a "Tremendous success"?
Or, is the victory Trump is tweeting about the fact they didn't lose the Senate too?
Dude is insufferable.
Dude is a different cat, for sure. Overall, thank God for that. There was no blue wave, we gained power in the Senate, we won some very nice governorships and lost a couple.
Finally a check on trump. As it should be. No more rubber stamping every ridiculous whim he has.
Oh and if he thinks he’s done w the special counsel, it’s only getting started now!
YFP...remember your messiah's first midterms in 2010? The one where the Dems lost 60 seats in the House and 6 in the Senate? That was a check....and a checkmate!
""Finally a check on trump""
Trump's had a target on him since day one. He's not going anywhere. Don't give yourself false hope.
"I sure hope the R's are talking to some of the moderate D's into changing parties."
I was thinking a similar thing. If the extremist, left-wing Dems in leadership positions go off the reservation....I would not be surprised to see a moderate Dem or two flip to Repub.
For YFP.....a divided Congress usually means gridlock and nothing gets done. Once the folks see that, especially after seeing alot accomplished the last two years, they will start to 2nd guess the wisdom of voting for a Dem House. 2020 isn't that far off. If Trump can still get some things done I think he stands a decent chance of getting re-elected. That might bode well for the down ballot Repubs. The extremist Dems in the House better play their hand smartly.
^^^ Yes, my glass is half full view makes me think the dems winning back the house will increase Trump's chance's for re-election in 2020. Especially if the dems take the route of litigating vs legislating.
Boy you know you gotta move when Dizzy Lizzy wins by a land slide! My state was all 70% Dems vs 30%. Time to get the hell out!
I could never live in a state with that many lousy dems... thank God we here are still a strong conservative state.. we did our part ... PA. was a huge screwed up... the dem. courts gerrymandered that state so dems now have strongholds, look at all the seats flipped because of the bullcrap they did there ....
one good thing, all those Obama endorsed went down the tubes
Biggest loser... the Wall. I don't see anyway the wall happens now. And deficit will get even worse because the onky way both parties will agree is if they BOTH get all the spending they want.
Biggest winner might be GOP in 2020. I don't like how close some of these races were, but the way Senate dems behaved during Kavanaugh hearings cost them seats... and I expect the House dems will really behave like maniacs and hurt economic progress for the next two years helping the next GOP president.
Tester has been called the winner in MT and that looks correct. Where the votes have yet to be counted are heavily pro-Tester areas.
OTOH, the same thing applies in AZ where McSally leads by 13,900 votes with less than 1% of the vote still out. There just aren't enough votes left for Sinema to catch up, esp. as those yet-to-be counted votes appear to be fairly evenly divided between McSally areas and Sinema areas.
Net result is the GOP gains three Senate seats. That's very important going into the 2020 election where the GOP has to defend 22 seats but the Dems only need to defend 11 seats.
Also good is that even though the wins in AZ and TN are GOP holds, the two new Senators are far more conservative than the Senators they are replacing.
Some quick math shows that the 7/1,000th of the vote that is as yet uncounted totals to just 12,144 votes.
If Sinema gets 100% of those votes, she still loses!
One more thing about AZ:
They require an automatic recount if the margin of victory for the leader is less than 1/10th of 1% of the total votes cast for all candidates.
In this case, that comes to ~ 1,730 votes.
So even if Sinema gets 100% of the as yet uncounted votes, she STILL falls short of getting the recount.
"Biggest loser... the Wall."
.. . .. .
.. . . .
I have stated it numerous times, unless you are going to guard the wall like East Germany guarded the Berlin Wall ( with deadly force via machine guns ), it is a total waste of money and time.
So I think that "no wall" is a huge win for the tax payer.
If you really want to stop the illegals, prosecute those that hire illegals with viciousness, and increase fines and jail times.
No jobs + no money = no illegals
If The Wall is built, it needs to be funded in the lame duck session before year's end.
"watch the stock market crumble tomorrow .."
I wish it would "crumble" like this every day. LOL
Here's what's interesting.
In a POTUS's first term, in the twelve month period after his first mid-term elections, since WWII, the market has AVERAGED a 17% gain, regardless of party.
Even more interesting, IMO, is the markets have historically performed far better under a split Congress.
I guess investors favor political stagnation, as I always have.
I asked the Sec State in AZ why the Senate numbers aren't being updated.
Here's the response I received:
"The counties are currently working to verify the signatures on each and every one of the hundreds of thousands of mail-in ballots before they can be tabulated. Once they are signature verified, the County Recorders then check to make sure that a voter didn’t mail in a ballot AND vote in person at a polling place.
This obviously takes a little bit of time and is done to ensure that voters can trust the outcome of their elections."
I'm glad they are going thru all that effort to be correct ... Heck, my county still hasnt tabulated the votes due to a huge snaffu ...they wont be counted and verified till Thurs day..... it dont matter for the House or Senate, but the local candidates are the ones hurting right now ..
The red team loses control over half of their legislative branch, and their cheerleaders are spinning it into a victory. Too funny.
A tie is only a victory if your are the Cleveland Browns, or if you prefer political gridlock, like me. Otherwise, it's akin to kissing your sister.
FINALLY, Arizona has updated the election results.
Now, with 95.5% of the votes counted, McSally is up 25,900!
There were three possible outcomes.... GOP/Conservative control, split gridlock, or Democratic/Socialist control. Gridlock is somewhat of a victory compared to the predicted Blue Wave losing both Senate and House.
If you think gridlock is somehow better than the solid Conservative gains we have experienced in the past two years, there is something seriously wrong with your way of thinking.
It's not a split!
Because the Senate matters a lot more than does the House.
Perhaps you are familiar with the process for confirming Justices to the Supreme Court?
The House is in no way involved. The Senate decides!
Game, Set, Match!
I agree, Adam.... And I know you aren't really sayin' our House was a good helper, who were overflowing with great ideas to help make America great. Cuz they were fricken anemic thru the entire Trump term, to date.
Thanks, Paul Ryan & Company, for accidentally making this loss somewhat unnoticeable....................
I'll take a Senate majority anyday ..... this is going to bite these radical dems right in the dupa and will help push Trump into 2020 and beyond ..
For example, Ryan ran away at max speed from extremely clear evidence of a phony Dem felonious conspiracy aimed to harm our current Administration.
Ryan could've helped. But he acted like he was afraid he'd be forced to retire... Thanks, Speaker.....
Again, the red team spins having control over less than they had before as a win.
I find that comical.
GG, 99% of the people find you comical ... you and PutZ, two clowns in a pod ...
GG, I'm chuckling with you, but some of it is in disgust.
How's the stock market doing?
Grey Ghost's Link
Fellas, don't count on leftists to boost your investment totals for long. They will take their share in a major way soon enough. Take that to the bank... ;^)
Solo, I don't count on either team boosting my "investment totals". In fact, history shows us the markets do better when neither team has control of Congress.
HFW ......... dont care .... I dont follow it like some do .. those that do can thank Trump for it .......
Newt Gingrich .... Foxnews.com
"The big story coming out of Tuesday’s midterm elections is how totally the news media missed the issue of what waves were building.
There was no red wave. If there had been, Republicans would have kept majority control of the U.S. House and had even more pickups in the Senate.
There was no blue wave. If there had been, Democrats would have gained control of the Senate.
There was an underreported green wave, which attempted to drown Republicans in left-wing money.
And there was the usual anti-Republican liberal media wave, which tried to prop up Democrats.
This was a fascinatingly complex election in which unique Republican personalities won re-election as governors in New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, and Maryland – three clearly blue states and one purple state in the Northeast.
The biggest change in this election was the sheer volume of money generated by left-wing billionaires and activist groups who hate President Trump.
In congressional race after congressional race, Republicans suddenly found millions of dollars poured in against them on a scale that resembled Senate races in the past.
House Republicans had hurt themselves by allowing the number of House incumbent retirees to become larger than any time since 1930, when the Brookings Institution started tracking congressional retirements. Breaking an 88-year record for retirees is a tough way to start an off-year election for the incumbent president’s party.
Despite this institutional disadvantage, President Trump’s House losses were far less than either the 54 seats President Clinton lost in 1994 or the 63 seats President Obama lost in 2010.
Measured against the Clinton and Obama standard, you would have to give President Trump an A+ for keeping Republican House losses to a minimum – and setting the stage for a Republican majority comeback in the 2020 presidential election.
In the Senate, the president, working with Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., put together a great, focused campaign that has reversed historic norms and gained seats.
In fact, as I am writing this, it appears that enough Republicans will have won Senate seats that it will be far more difficult for Democrats to have a shot at winning a Senate majority in 2020 than anyone might have expected.
The best example of the green wave’s failure is Rep. Beto O’Rourke, D-Texas. He became the darling of the media – the left’s political rock star to battle Republican Sen. Ted Cruz, who the media despises.
O’Rourke raised more than $70 million, a record for a U.S. Senate race – and an amount we used to associate with presidential campaigns. After all the liberal media hype, and the sheer volume of money from the green wave, O’Rourke lost.
Once again, the voters of Texas disappointed the liberal media by refusing to elect their darling.
Republicans gained Senate seats to an unprecedented degree, because President Trump personally crisscrossed the county holding massive rallies, which dwarfed the size of former President Obama’s rallies.
This was President Trump’s victory, and he and Sen. McConnell will use it well to continue getting judges and other nominees confirmed by the Senate, to block left-wing actions by the Democrats, and to set the stage for key legislative achievements the American people want (probably starting with infrastructure investments and reforms).
The president defeated both the money wave and the liberal media – and had a very successful midterm election for a first-term president."
Update on AZ senate race: yesterday McSally was up 17K on Sinema with about 500K ballots left to count. The recorders office release an updated count today at 5pm. Sinema is now up 2,100 votes with about 345K ballots left to count. I am very concerned because the majority of ballots left to count are from Maricopa County (Phx area) and I believe Sinema will win Maricopa County. Apparently what is causing the slowdown is people who received early ballots however they did not mail them in and instead dropped them off at a polling place on election day. While that is legal here, They must be checked to make sure someone did not vote twice. I'll have another update tomorrow evening. I'm glad the senate has a cushion already cause this one ain't looking good.