onX Maps
Wyoming draw
Elk
Contributors to this thread:
Z Barebow 29-Dec-21
Scrappy 29-Dec-21
WapitiBob 29-Dec-21
WapitiBob 29-Dec-21
sticksender 29-Dec-21
Bowfreak 29-Dec-21
DonVathome 29-Dec-21
YZF-88 29-Dec-21
Scrappy 29-Dec-21
Z Barebow 29-Dec-21
Bowfreak 29-Dec-21
BULELK1 30-Dec-21
YZF-88 30-Dec-21
Z Barebow 31-Dec-21
Z Barebow 31-Dec-21
Mule Power 31-Dec-21
drycreek 31-Dec-21
Aspen Ghost 31-Dec-21
IdyllwildArcher 01-Jan-22
Old School 01-Jan-22
Bowboy 01-Jan-22
WapitiBob 01-Jan-22
From: Z Barebow
29-Dec-21

Z Barebow's Link
Follow link to minimize bugging WapitiBob.

From: Scrappy
29-Dec-21
Thanks, that was helpful but now my brain hurts.

From: WapitiBob
29-Dec-21
thanks Z

Below is a bit more detail of the process. Some key points are noted *.

From: WapitiBob
29-Dec-21
NONRESIDENT FULL PRICE ELK DRAWING PROCESS

ASSIGNMENT OF RANDOM NUMBERS:

1. All eligible applicants are assigned two random numbers:

Random #1—Preference Point random number

Random #2---Regular random number

NOTE: Party applicants are assigned the SAME random numbers

Random numbers are unique numbers that are generated by a computer system routine.

The random numbers are between #1 and #999999999.

QUOTA PROCESSING—FOR ALL HUNT AREAS

Quota Available for Landowner Drawing:

1. Total Quota is obtained for each hunt area

2. Quota is split between Resident and Nonresident Share (84% NR; 16% RES)

3. Nonresident Total Quota available for each hunt area is split for Landowner Draw

75% (Round UP) Preference Point Draw—Landowner Draw

25% (Round DOWN) Random Point Draw—Landowner Draw

4. Landowner Preference Point Drawing is conducted

Quota balance is held

5. Landowner Random Drawing is conducted

--> 6. Quota balance from Landowner Preference Point Draw and Landowner Random Drawing are combined to a new total quota available for each hunt area

Quota Available for Special Drawing:

7. Total Quota available after Landowner Drawings are Split for Special Draw and Regular Draw

40% (Round UP) quota to Special Drawing

60% (Round DOWN) quota to Regular Drawing

8. Special Drawing Quota is Split for Preference point Drawing and Random Drawing

75% (Round UP) Special Preference Point Drawing

25% (Round DOWN) Special Random Drawing

9. Special Preference Point Drawing is conducted

* Quota balance is held to be made available for the Regular Drawing

* Quota is not rolled to the Special Random Drawing

10. Special Random Drawing is conducted

* Quota balance is held to be made available for the Regular Drawing

Quota Available for Regular Drawing:

11. New Quota balance is calculated for each hunt area

Original 60% for Nonresident Regular Drawing

* Plus quota balance from the Nonresident Special Preference Point Drawing

* Plus quota balance from the Nonresident Special Random Drawing

12. Quota balance available for Nonresident Regular Drawing is split for Preference Point Drawing and Random Drawing

75% (Round UP) Regular Preference Point Drawing

25% (Round DOWN) Regular Random Drawing

13. Conduct Regular Preference Point Drawing

Quota balance is held to be converted to General Quota

14. Conduct Regular Random Drawing

--> Quota balance is held to be converted to General Quota

QUOTA PROCESSING—TO MEET THE 7,250 LICENSE LIMIT

15. Convert remaining quota balance remaining from the Regular Preference Point and Regular Random drawings to General up to the amount necessary to issue 7,250 licenses in total

16. Conduct 2nd pass drawing for unsuccessful Special license applicants

Quota remaining is made available to Regular license applicants

17. Conduct 2nd pass drawing for unsuccessful Regular license applicants

From: sticksender
29-Dec-21
And that’s what you might call a Complex Algorithm ;-)

From: Bowfreak
29-Dec-21
Thanks for the link Z. However.....everyone will still bug Bob. :)

From: DonVathome
29-Dec-21
Thanks guys! If I read it right I am sure to draw unit 62 elk, regular draw with 1 point right?

From: YZF-88
29-Dec-21
OK, I'll start the seasonal posts so nobody else has to. I have 13 points and want a great archery hunt. Don't care about gun hunting. Where should I go for an epic DIY hunt in September? Oh yeah, after listening to my kids fight for weeks on end...I really don't care about grizzly bears anymore!

From: Scrappy
29-Dec-21
Ha Don you could have drawn unit 62 with one point right up until you posted it online. Now you'll never have enough points to draw:)

From: Z Barebow
29-Dec-21
YFZ-88. I think you are a lock for a Type 4 hunt!! You better go into the special draw to be sure.:)

From: Bowfreak
29-Dec-21
YZF,

Base on creep over the past few years you might draw a general in the special draw. :)

From: BULELK1
30-Dec-21

BULELK1's Link
It will be interesting to see how it plays out for 2022 compared to 2021 draw results.

See my link from last year's Bowsite results thread.

Good luck, Robb

From: YZF-88
30-Dec-21
Type 4, special-general, 13 points. Alright, alright alright!

From: Z Barebow
31-Dec-21
We aren’t wrong! Smart@sses. But not wrong.

From: Z Barebow
31-Dec-21

From: Mule Power
31-Dec-21
Don times those odds by .25. Internet factor. Lmao Scrappy!

From: drycreek
31-Dec-21
My ninth grade education ain’t enough……….

From: Aspen Ghost
31-Dec-21
So you're saying I got a chance..........

01-Jan-22
It sure will Robb.

It'll either accelerate, continue, or reverse. Creep was pretty static and somewhat predictable pre-Covid and that has changed.

Maybe holding on to points is the new normal. Or maybe the number of people trying to liquidate points will start to run out, like pouring water out of a bucket.

From: Old School
01-Jan-22
I’m hoping that 4 is enough to draw a general tag in the regular draw.

From: Bowboy
01-Jan-22

Bowboy's Link
Here’s the link to the preference points going in to 2022 draw. There sure is a lot of folks with max points for elk.

From: WapitiBob
01-Jan-22
Less than half of available applicants actually apply for a given species. People simply getting off the sidelines and applying could sink your odds any given year.

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